The second Trump administration has escalated maximum-pressure sanctions on Cuba through January 2026 Executive Order 14380, which declared a national emergency and threatened tariffs on third countries supplying oil, followed by the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 establishing secondary sanctions targeting Cuban entities in energy, mining, and financial sectors. These measures followed the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies after U.S. actions against Maduro and contributed to acute fuel shortages and economic strain on the island. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to negotiate a deal, with reports of high-level contacts, while Cuba has signaled willingness for dialogue on technical cooperation without preconditions on governance. Recent U.S. intervention blocked even a licensed fuel shipment from a Florida firm in June 2026, underscoring continued embargo enforcement and the limited near-term scope for broader economic normalization absent major policy shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acuerdo económico EEUU x Cuba por...?
¿Acuerdo económico EEUU x Cuba por...?
$296,673 Vol.
31 jul 2026
30 de junio
10%
July 31
19%
December 31
57%
$296,673 Vol.
30 de junio
$158,966 Vol.
10%
July 31
$1,209 Vol.
19%
December 31
$500 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The second Trump administration has escalated maximum-pressure sanctions on Cuba through January 2026 Executive Order 14380, which declared a national emergency and threatened tariffs on third countries supplying oil, followed by the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 establishing secondary sanctions targeting Cuban entities in energy, mining, and financial sectors. These measures followed the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies after U.S. actions against Maduro and contributed to acute fuel shortages and economic strain on the island. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to negotiate a deal, with reports of high-level contacts, while Cuba has signaled willingness for dialogue on technical cooperation without preconditions on governance. Recent U.S. intervention blocked even a licensed fuel shipment from a Florida firm in June 2026, underscoring continued embargo enforcement and the limited near-term scope for broader economic normalization absent major policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
Volumen
$296,673Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The second Trump administration has escalated maximum-pressure sanctions on Cuba through January 2026 Executive Order 14380, which declared a national emergency and threatened tariffs on third countries supplying oil, followed by the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 establishing secondary sanctions targeting Cuban entities in energy, mining, and financial sectors. These measures followed the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies after U.S. actions against Maduro and contributed to acute fuel shortages and economic strain on the island. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to negotiate a deal, with reports of high-level contacts, while Cuba has signaled willingness for dialogue on technical cooperation without preconditions on governance. Recent U.S. intervention blocked even a licensed fuel shipment from a Florida firm in June 2026, underscoring continued embargo enforcement and the limited near-term scope for broader economic normalization absent major policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$296,673Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The second Trump administration has escalated maximum-pressure sanctions on Cuba through January 2026 Executive Order 14380, which declared a national emergency and threatened tariffs on third countries supplying oil, followed by the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 establishing secondary sanctions targeting Cuban entities in energy, mining, and financial sectors. These measures followed the cutoff of Venezuelan oil supplies after U.S. actions against Maduro and contributed to acute fuel shortages and economic strain on the island. President Trump has repeatedly urged Cuban leaders to negotiate a deal, with reports of high-level contacts, while Cuba has signaled willingness for dialogue on technical cooperation without preconditions on governance. Recent U.S. intervention blocked even a licensed fuel shipment from a Florida firm in June 2026, underscoring continued embargo enforcement and the limited near-term scope for broader economic normalization absent major policy shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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