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icon for ¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?

¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?

icon for ¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?

¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?

NUEVO

$10,636 Vol.

13 jun 2026
Polymarket

$10,636 Vol.

Polymarket

12 de junio

$7,822 Vol.

<1%

13 de junio

$359 Vol.

14%

14 de junio

$1,355 Vol.

22%

15 de junio

$1,395 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, provide limited sanctions relief, and launch further talks on Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-June 2026, President Trump and Pakistani mediators have described the draft text as largely or fully agreed, with public statements indicating a signing ceremony could occur in Europe—possibly Geneva—within days, potentially attended by Vice President JD Vance. Recent military exchanges have not derailed the process, and both sides continue exchanging proposals amid mediation. Trader focus centers on whether Washington will soon confirm a specific location or date for the initial signing, which would trigger 60 days of technical negotiations; any last-minute delays over nuclear verification or sanctions terms could shift timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.

Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,636
Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, provide limited sanctions relief, and launch further talks on Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-June 2026, President Trump and Pakistani mediators have described the draft text as largely or fully agreed, with public statements indicating a signing ceremony could occur in Europe—possibly Geneva—within days, potentially attended by Vice President JD Vance. Recent military exchanges have not derailed the process, and both sides continue exchanging proposals amid mediation. Trader focus centers on whether Washington will soon confirm a specific location or date for the initial signing, which would trigger 60 days of technical negotiations; any last-minute delays over nuclear verification or sanctions terms could shift timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.

Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,636
Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces that the United States will sign a written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran in a specific location or on a specific date by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count. Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15 de junio" con 28%, seguido de "14 de junio" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?" ha generado $10.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?" es "15 de junio" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "14 de junio" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estados Unidos anuncia la ubicación o la fecha de la firma del acuerdo entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.