US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, provide limited sanctions relief, and launch further talks on Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-June 2026, President Trump and Pakistani mediators have described the draft text as largely or fully agreed, with public statements indicating a signing ceremony could occur in Europe—possibly Geneva—within days, potentially attended by Vice President JD Vance. Recent military exchanges have not derailed the process, and both sides continue exchanging proposals amid mediation. Trader focus centers on whether Washington will soon confirm a specific location or date for the initial signing, which would trigger 60 days of technical negotiations; any last-minute delays over nuclear verification or sanctions terms could shift timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,636 Vol.
12 de junio
<1%
13 de junio
14%
14 de junio
22%
15 de junio
28%
$10,636 Vol.
12 de junio
<1%
13 de junio
14%
14 de junio
22%
15 de junio
28%
Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Qualifying statements must clearly and definitively state that the United States or an authorized official of the United States will sign a written agreement to which both the United States and Iran are parties, at a specified location and/or on a specified date. Qualifying statements must either identify a country or more specifically defined location in which the signing will take place, or the specific calendar date on which the specified signing will happen. Statements limited to a general location or timeframe not meeting this standard will not count.
Non-definitive statements, including conditional, exploratory, or tentative statements do not count (e.g. "the signing will take place if Iran agrees" or "we might sign on June 13"). Statements that merely describe a signing without firmly scheduling a location or date will not qualify. Statements that announce a meeting without indicating that the signing of a written agreement will occur will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether an agreement is signed absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
US and Iranian negotiators have advanced toward a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, provide limited sanctions relief, and launch further talks on Iran's nuclear program. As of mid-June 2026, President Trump and Pakistani mediators have described the draft text as largely or fully agreed, with public statements indicating a signing ceremony could occur in Europe—possibly Geneva—within days, potentially attended by Vice President JD Vance. Recent military exchanges have not derailed the process, and both sides continue exchanging proposals amid mediation. Trader focus centers on whether Washington will soon confirm a specific location or date for the initial signing, which would trigger 60 days of technical negotiations; any last-minute delays over nuclear verification or sanctions terms could shift timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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