President Trump's May 11 Fox News remarks considering a revival of Project Freedom—the U.S.-led military escorts for commercial ships through the Iran-disrupted Strait of Hormuz—signal trader consensus at 2% odds by May 15 amid his ongoing Beijing summit with Xi Jinping, ending Friday, which may shape broader diplomatic leverage before any announcement. By May 31, implied probability rises to 35%, buoyed by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifting May 7 restrictions on U.S. base access and airspace, offsetting the operation's abrupt May 5 pause after Iranian attacks exposed Gulf allies' escalation fears without retaliation. Stalled indirect ceasefire talks, Iran's rejection of U.S. proposals, and restored missile capabilities heighten uncertainty; resolution requires a definitive White House or Pentagon statement on resumption or equivalent program, with post-summit national security deliberations key.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
NUEVO
$102,679 Vol.
31 may 2026
May 15
4%
May 31
38%
$102,679 Vol.
May 15
$38,675 Vol.
4%
May 31
$64,104 Vol.
38%
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's May 11 Fox News remarks considering a revival of Project Freedom—the U.S.-led military escorts for commercial ships through the Iran-disrupted Strait of Hormuz—signal trader consensus at 2% odds by May 15 amid his ongoing Beijing summit with Xi Jinping, ending Friday, which may shape broader diplomatic leverage before any announcement. By May 31, implied probability rises to 35%, buoyed by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifting May 7 restrictions on U.S. base access and airspace, offsetting the operation's abrupt May 5 pause after Iranian attacks exposed Gulf allies' escalation fears without retaliation. Stalled indirect ceasefire talks, Iran's rejection of U.S. proposals, and restored missile capabilities heighten uncertainty; resolution requires a definitive White House or Pentagon statement on resumption or equivalent program, with post-summit national security deliberations key.
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ET
Volumen
$102,679Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's May 11 Fox News remarks considering a revival of Project Freedom—the U.S.-led military escorts for commercial ships through the Iran-disrupted Strait of Hormuz—signal trader consensus at 2% odds by May 15 amid his ongoing Beijing summit with Xi Jinping, ending Friday, which may shape broader diplomatic leverage before any announcement. By May 31, implied probability rises to 35%, buoyed by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifting May 7 restrictions on U.S. base access and airspace, offsetting the operation's abrupt May 5 pause after Iranian attacks exposed Gulf allies' escalation fears without retaliation. Stalled indirect ceasefire talks, Iran's rejection of U.S. proposals, and restored missile capabilities heighten uncertainty; resolution requires a definitive White House or Pentagon statement on resumption or equivalent program, with post-summit national security deliberations key.
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$102,679Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 11:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's May 11 Fox News remarks considering a revival of Project Freedom—the U.S.-led military escorts for commercial ships through the Iran-disrupted Strait of Hormuz—signal trader consensus at 2% odds by May 15 amid his ongoing Beijing summit with Xi Jinping, ending Friday, which may shape broader diplomatic leverage before any announcement. By May 31, implied probability rises to 35%, buoyed by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait lifting May 7 restrictions on U.S. base access and airspace, offsetting the operation's abrupt May 5 pause after Iranian attacks exposed Gulf allies' escalation fears without retaliation. Stalled indirect ceasefire talks, Iran's rejection of U.S. proposals, and restored missile capabilities heighten uncertainty; resolution requires a definitive White House or Pentagon statement on resumption or equivalent program, with post-summit national security deliberations key.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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