**No referendum on constitutional changes is expected to be formally announced in Turkey before the end of 2026.** President Erdoğan commissioned legal experts in May 2025 to prepare a new draft, citing goals of a civilian and libertarian framework, yet the process has not advanced to parliamentary votes or an official call for a nationwide ballot. Term-limit discussions tied to the 2028 presidential election have surfaced, including MHP calls for amendments, but AKP and allies lack the three-fifths majority needed to send proposals directly to referendum or the higher threshold for direct passage. Opposition parties have resisted, and no legislative calendar or announcement has materialized in the first half of 2026. Traders price the “No” outcome at 82 percent because constitutional referendums require sustained parliamentary consensus and procedural steps that remain stalled, with no verifiable catalyst emerging in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoConstitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**No referendum on constitutional changes is expected to be formally announced in Turkey before the end of 2026.** President Erdoğan commissioned legal experts in May 2025 to prepare a new draft, citing goals of a civilian and libertarian framework, yet the process has not advanced to parliamentary votes or an official call for a nationwide ballot. Term-limit discussions tied to the 2028 presidential election have surfaced, including MHP calls for amendments, but AKP and allies lack the three-fifths majority needed to send proposals directly to referendum or the higher threshold for direct passage. Opposition parties have resisted, and no legislative calendar or announcement has materialized in the first half of 2026. Traders price the “No” outcome at 82 percent because constitutional referendums require sustained parliamentary consensus and procedural steps that remain stalled, with no verifiable catalyst emerging in recent months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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