Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Tucker Carlson's arrest by May 31, reflecting the complete absence of any formal DOJ or FBI actions, indictments, or charges despite his mid-March 2026 claims of a potential CIA criminal referral over alleged Foreign Agents Registration Act violations tied to pre-war Iran contacts. Trump administration officials dismissed those fears at the time, and no procedural developments—such as grand jury indictments, arrest warrants, or investigations—have emerged in the past 30 days amid his shift to expressing public regrets over past Trump support during the Iran conflict. With the market resolving in about four weeks, realistic shifts would require late-breaking legal filings or new probes, though substantial evidentiary barriers persist given the lack of momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Tucker Carlson's arrest by May 31, reflecting the complete absence of any formal DOJ or FBI actions, indictments, or charges despite his mid-March 2026 claims of a potential CIA criminal referral over alleged Foreign Agents Registration Act violations tied to pre-war Iran contacts. Trump administration officials dismissed those fears at the time, and no procedural developments—such as grand jury indictments, arrest warrants, or investigations—have emerged in the past 30 days amid his shift to expressing public regrets over past Trump support during the Iran conflict. With the market resolving in about four weeks, realistic shifts would require late-breaking legal filings or new probes, though substantial evidentiary barriers persist given the lack of momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Volumen
$2,179Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Tucker Carlson's arrest by May 31, reflecting the complete absence of any formal DOJ or FBI actions, indictments, or charges despite his mid-March 2026 claims of a potential CIA criminal referral over alleged Foreign Agents Registration Act violations tied to pre-war Iran contacts. Trump administration officials dismissed those fears at the time, and no procedural developments—such as grand jury indictments, arrest warrants, or investigations—have emerged in the past 30 days amid his shift to expressing public regrets over past Trump support during the Iran conflict. With the market resolving in about four weeks, realistic shifts would require late-breaking legal filings or new probes, though substantial evidentiary barriers persist given the lack of momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,179Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 2:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Tucker Carlson's arrest by May 31, reflecting the complete absence of any formal DOJ or FBI actions, indictments, or charges despite his mid-March 2026 claims of a potential CIA criminal referral over alleged Foreign Agents Registration Act violations tied to pre-war Iran contacts. Trump administration officials dismissed those fears at the time, and no procedural developments—such as grand jury indictments, arrest warrants, or investigations—have emerged in the past 30 days amid his shift to expressing public regrets over past Trump support during the Iran conflict. With the market resolving in about four weeks, realistic shifts would require late-breaking legal filings or new probes, though substantial evidentiary barriers persist given the lack of momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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