President Trump's April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview threatening to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he remains beyond his May 15 term expiration has not prompted trader expectations of an actual firing attempt, with "No" shares reflecting 94.8% implied probability ahead of Trump departing office in January 2029. Legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act require "cause" for Chair dismissal—absent here—bolstered by historical precedent of no successful presidential removals, amid potential market turmoil and judicial challenges. Powell's April 29 affirmation of staying on the Fed Board as a governor post-term heightens tensions, but nominee Kevin Warsh's April 21 Senate confirmation hearing offers a procedural path to transition without executive action, anchoring trader consensus in de-escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$88,512 Vol.
$88,512 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$88,512 Vol.
$88,512 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview threatening to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he remains beyond his May 15 term expiration has not prompted trader expectations of an actual firing attempt, with "No" shares reflecting 94.8% implied probability ahead of Trump departing office in January 2029. Legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act require "cause" for Chair dismissal—absent here—bolstered by historical precedent of no successful presidential removals, amid potential market turmoil and judicial challenges. Powell's April 29 affirmation of staying on the Fed Board as a governor post-term heightens tensions, but nominee Kevin Warsh's April 21 Senate confirmation hearing offers a procedural path to transition without executive action, anchoring trader consensus in de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
Volumen
$88,512Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview threatening to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he remains beyond his May 15 term expiration has not prompted trader expectations of an actual firing attempt, with "No" shares reflecting 94.8% implied probability ahead of Trump departing office in January 2029. Legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act require "cause" for Chair dismissal—absent here—bolstered by historical precedent of no successful presidential removals, amid potential market turmoil and judicial challenges. Powell's April 29 affirmation of staying on the Fed Board as a governor post-term heightens tensions, but nominee Kevin Warsh's April 21 Senate confirmation hearing offers a procedural path to transition without executive action, anchoring trader consensus in de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$88,512Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview threatening to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he remains beyond his May 15 term expiration has not prompted trader expectations of an actual firing attempt, with "No" shares reflecting 94.8% implied probability ahead of Trump departing office in January 2029. Legal barriers under the Federal Reserve Act require "cause" for Chair dismissal—absent here—bolstered by historical precedent of no successful presidential removals, amid potential market turmoil and judicial challenges. Powell's April 29 affirmation of staying on the Fed Board as a governor post-term heightens tensions, but nominee Kevin Warsh's April 21 Senate confirmation hearing offers a procedural path to transition without executive action, anchoring trader consensus in de-escalation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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