Trump remains the sitting president following his 2025 inauguration, with roughly 16 days remaining until the June 30 resolution date and no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment, or announced resignation altering that status. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts such as sudden health crises, successful legal disqualifications, or congressional action capable of forcing departure within this compressed window. Historical patterns show presidential removals require sustained institutional momentum that has not materialized here. Even so, an unforeseen medical event, abrupt scandal, or extraordinary congressional vote could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though such developments remain outside current verified developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$7,275,557 Vol.
$7,275,557 Vol.
Sí
$7,275,557 Vol.
$7,275,557 Vol.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains the sitting president following his 2025 inauguration, with roughly 16 days remaining until the June 30 resolution date and no active impeachment proceedings, cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment, or announced resignation altering that status. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects the absence of credible near-term catalysts such as sudden health crises, successful legal disqualifications, or congressional action capable of forcing departure within this compressed window. Historical patterns show presidential removals require sustained institutional momentum that has not materialized here. Even so, an unforeseen medical event, abrupt scandal, or extraordinary congressional vote could theoretically shift the outcome before the deadline, though such developments remain outside current verified developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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