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icon for Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

icon for Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

13% probabilidad
Polymarket

$478,248 Vol.

13% probabilidad
Polymarket

$478,248 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Recent political developments center on Hungary’s post-election transition.** Following Péter Magyar’s Tisza party landslide victory in the April 2026 parliamentary election, which ended Viktor Orbán’s long tenure, the new government has sought to replace officials appointed under the prior Fidesz-led administration. President Tamás Sulyok, elected by parliament in early 2024 for a five-year term, has refused repeated calls to resign, citing constitutional requirements and referring the matter to the Venice Commission for review. Magyar set a May 31 deadline and, after Sulyok’s refusal, announced on June 1 plans to amend the Fundamental Law (constitution) using the governing coalition’s two-thirds majority. Officials described the full removal process as likely requiring roughly one month. With the June 30 cutoff now less than three weeks away and no completed constitutional change or resignation confirmed, traders assign an 87% probability that Sulyok remains in office by that date. The primary driver is the procedural timeline for legislative action amid ongoing institutional resistance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$478,248
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Recent political developments center on Hungary’s post-election transition.** Following Péter Magyar’s Tisza party landslide victory in the April 2026 parliamentary election, which ended Viktor Orbán’s long tenure, the new government has sought to replace officials appointed under the prior Fidesz-led administration. President Tamás Sulyok, elected by parliament in early 2024 for a five-year term, has refused repeated calls to resign, citing constitutional requirements and referring the matter to the Venice Commission for review. Magyar set a May 31 deadline and, after Sulyok’s refusal, announced on June 1 plans to amend the Fundamental Law (constitution) using the governing coalition’s two-thirds majority. Officials described the full removal process as likely requiring roughly one month. With the June 30 cutoff now less than three weeks away and no completed constitutional change or resignation confirmed, traders assign an 87% probability that Sulyok remains in office by that date. The primary driver is the procedural timeline for legislative action amid ongoing institutional resistance.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$478,248
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tamas Sulyok ceases to be the President of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and June 30 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sulyok's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Tamas Sulyok and the Hungarian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 13% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 13¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" ha generado $478.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" es 13% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 13% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.