Following Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 in Trump v. Barbara challenging Executive Order 14160, which seeks to limit 14th Amendment birthright citizenship for children of undocumented immigrants and certain non-citizens, justices across the ideological spectrum—including Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Barrett—expressed deep skepticism toward the administration's position. This reflects longstanding precedent from United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898) affirming broad birthright citizenship, alongside uniform lower court rulings issuing nationwide injunctions that have prevented the order from taking effect since its January 20, 2025 issuance. Trader consensus at 92% Yes anticipates a decisive SCOTUS rejection before the term ends in late June, though late developments could shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$111,968 Vol.
$111,968 Vol.
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$111,968 Vol.
$111,968 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States.
Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following Supreme Court oral arguments on April 1 in Trump v. Barbara challenging Executive Order 14160, which seeks to limit 14th Amendment birthright citizenship for children of undocumented immigrants and certain non-citizens, justices across the ideological spectrum—including Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Barrett—expressed deep skepticism toward the administration's position. This reflects longstanding precedent from United States v. Wong Kim Ark (1898) affirming broad birthright citizenship, alongside uniform lower court rulings issuing nationwide injunctions that have prevented the order from taking effect since its January 20, 2025 issuance. Trader consensus at 92% Yes anticipates a decisive SCOTUS rejection before the term ends in late June, though late developments could shift outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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