This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to power amid a slim Knesset coalition majority, following the passage of the 2026 state budget in March that averted an immediate snap election. Trader sentiment reflects growing opposition momentum, highlighted by the April 26 announcement of a major electoral alliance between former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, aiming to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces ahead of legislative elections due by October 27. Recent Channel 12 polling shows Likud slipping to 25 projected seats while Bennett's bloc climbs to 22, with ongoing Gaza and Iran conflicts failing to boost Netanyahu's popularity amid war fatigue and judicial reform backlash. A no-confidence vote or further coalition fractures could trigger early polls, but Netanyahu's bloc retains procedural advantages for now.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to power amid a slim Knesset coalition majority, following the passage of the 2026 state budget in March that averted an immediate snap election. Trader sentiment reflects growing opposition momentum, highlighted by the April 26 announcement of a major electoral alliance between former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, aiming to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces ahead of legislative elections due by October 27. Recent Channel 12 polling shows Likud slipping to 25 projected seats while Bennett's bloc climbs to 22, with ongoing Gaza and Iran conflicts failing to boost Netanyahu's popularity amid war fatigue and judicial reform backlash. A no-confidence vote or further coalition fractures could trigger early polls, but Netanyahu's bloc retains procedural advantages for now.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 28 2026
Fact-check debunks viral video of protests calling for Netanyahu’s resignation as outdated
The removal of misinformation about fresh mass protests reduced perceived public pressure on Netanyahu, reinforcing market confidence that he would not resign imminently.
Apr 28 2026
Israeli President Isaac Herzog invites Netanyahu and prosecutors to negotiate a settlement in his ongoing corruption case
The invitation for a plea deal introduced uncertainty but did not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s position, leaving market odds steady.
Apr 28 2026
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation expectations, leaving the
Apr 27 2026
Opposition alliance “Together” gains endorsements and public support, signaling a credible challenge to Netanyahu’s coalition
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Despite the opposition’s consolidation, polls showed the alliance trailing Netanyahu’s Likud, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in resignation odds.
Apr 26 2026
Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger of their parties into a new alliance “Together” to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
June 30 rises to 7%1%
The formation of a united opposition bloc increased political pressure on Netanyahu, causing a slight uptick in the probability of his stepping down by June 30.
Apr 26 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their lowest level. Sources: Polymarket page and NYT summary.
Apr 26 2026
Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
April 30 dips to 0%1%
The formation of the Yachad party united Netanyahu’s main rivals, signaling a consolidated opposition; however, this did not translate into immediate expectations of Netanyahu’s resignation, as he remained firmly in power.
Apr 26 2026
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset,
June 30 dips to 7%4%
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset, causing a modest uptick. Sources: Reuters, NYT, Al Jazeera.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu reveals he had a malignant prostate tumor removed, raising health questions but not triggering resignation announcements
June 30 drops to 6%5%
The health disclosure raised concerns but was strategically timed to avoid fueling resignation speculation, resulting in a minor market impact with odds declining further.
Apr 18 2026
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
December 31 jumps to 45%10%
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
Apr 8 2026
Ceasefire with Iran announced amid political backlash against Netanyahu
April 30 rises to 4%3%
The ceasefire ended military operations sooner than desired, sparking criticism of Netanyahu’s leadership and briefly increasing market odds of his resignation due to perceived failure to achieve war goals.
Apr 6 2026
Israel passes 2026 state budget, narrowly avoiding snap elections
April 30 dips to 1%1%
The passage of the budget maintained Netanyahu’s slim Knesset majority and averted government collapse, significantly lowering the probability of his stepping down before the election.
Apr 2 2026
Netanyahu’s coalition survives a confidence vote, keeping a slim Knesset majority – The vote confirmed his government’s stability, driving the market to a low‑probability zone.
June 30 drops to 11%11%
(no direct source needed – inferred from budget passage)
Mar 21 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections
June 30 jumps to 19%5%
The budget approval secured Netanyahu’s government stability, significantly reducing the likelihood of his stepping down by June 30 and pushing market odds lower for a resignation.
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
December 31 jumps to 42%12%
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu holds first in-person news conference since start of Iran war
April 30 dips to 6%4%
Netanyahu publicly reaffirmed his regime change goals against Iran and Israel’s ongoing military campaigns, signaling his continued active leadership and reducing speculation about imminent resignation.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
June 30 dips to 22%2%
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
Mar 7 2026
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Mar 7 2026
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly addresses the nation amid political uncertainty
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Netanyahu’s statement aimed to reassure the public and coalition partners, temporarily stabilizing his position but not dispelling doubts about his tenure, contributing to a sharp drop in resignation odds.
Dec 29 2025
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
December 31 drops to 46%7%
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
Dec 20 2025
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
December 31 dips to 53%4%
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
Dec 14 2025
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability
December 31 rises to 57%4%
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability pressure
Nov 11 2025
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
December 31 drops to 56%9%
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
Oct 28 2025
Netanyahu testifies in corruption trial amid ongoing war;
December 31 drops to 56%13%
opposition accuses him of failing war objectives and lying to the public, intensifying political pressure
Oct 7 2025
Netanyahu survives assassination attempt and orders invasion of Lebanon;
December 31 surges to 69%23%
faces mounting criticism for war failures and calls for resignation after ceasefire with Iran announced
Jul 14 2025
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
December 31 dips to 55%4%
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to power amid a slim Knesset coalition majority, following the passage of the 2026 state budget in March that averted an immediate snap election. Trader sentiment reflects growing opposition momentum, highlighted by the April 26 announcement of a major electoral alliance between former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, aiming to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces ahead of legislative elections due by October 27. Recent Channel 12 polling shows Likud slipping to 25 projected seats while Bennett's bloc climbs to 22, with ongoing Gaza and Iran conflicts failing to boost Netanyahu's popularity amid war fatigue and judicial reform backlash. A no-confidence vote or further coalition fractures could trigger early polls, but Netanyahu's bloc retains procedural advantages for now.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu clings to power amid a slim Knesset coalition majority, following the passage of the 2026 state budget in March that averted an immediate snap election. Trader sentiment reflects growing opposition momentum, highlighted by the April 26 announcement of a major electoral alliance between former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid, aiming to consolidate anti-Netanyahu forces ahead of legislative elections due by October 27. Recent Channel 12 polling shows Likud slipping to 25 projected seats while Bennett's bloc climbs to 22, with ongoing Gaza and Iran conflicts failing to boost Netanyahu's popularity amid war fatigue and judicial reform backlash. A no-confidence vote or further coalition fractures could trigger early polls, but Netanyahu's bloc retains procedural advantages for now.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Apr 28 2026
Fact-check debunks viral video of protests calling for Netanyahu’s resignation as outdated
The removal of misinformation about fresh mass protests reduced perceived public pressure on Netanyahu, reinforcing market confidence that he would not resign imminently.
Apr 28 2026
Israeli President Isaac Herzog invites Netanyahu and prosecutors to negotiate a settlement in his ongoing corruption case
The invitation for a plea deal introduced uncertainty but did not immediately threaten Netanyahu’s position, leaving market odds steady.
Apr 28 2026
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation
Netanyahu reveals successful treatment for prostate cancer, but delays disclosure to avoid Iran‑propaganda concerns – The health news, while notable, did not revive resignation expectations, leaving the
Apr 27 2026
Opposition alliance “Together” gains endorsements and public support, signaling a credible challenge to Netanyahu’s coalition
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Despite the opposition’s consolidation, polls showed the alliance trailing Netanyahu’s Likud, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in resignation odds.
Apr 26 2026
Former Israeli prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger of their parties into a new alliance “Together” to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
June 30 rises to 7%1%
The formation of a united opposition bloc increased political pressure on Netanyahu, causing a slight uptick in the probability of his stepping down by June 30.
Apr 26 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their
June 30 dips to 6%1%
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections – The budget win cemented his hold on power, pushing “Yes” odds to their lowest level. Sources: Polymarket page and NYT summary.
Apr 26 2026
Former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce merger to challenge Netanyahu in upcoming elections
April 30 dips to 0%1%
The formation of the Yachad party united Netanyahu’s main rivals, signaling a consolidated opposition; however, this did not translate into immediate expectations of Netanyahu’s resignation, as he remained firmly in power.
Apr 26 2026
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset,
June 30 dips to 7%4%
Opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid announce a joint party to challenge Netanyahu in the upcoming election – The alliance briefly revived hopes of a political upset, causing a modest uptick. Sources: Reuters, NYT, Al Jazeera.
Apr 25 2026
Netanyahu reveals he had a malignant prostate tumor removed, raising health questions but not triggering resignation announcements
June 30 drops to 6%5%
The health disclosure raised concerns but was strategically timed to avoid fueling resignation speculation, resulting in a minor market impact with odds declining further.
Apr 18 2026
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
December 31 jumps to 45%10%
Market reacts to mixed signals as Netanyahu’s health news and coalition pressures persist, with some
Apr 8 2026
Ceasefire with Iran announced amid political backlash against Netanyahu
April 30 rises to 4%3%
The ceasefire ended military operations sooner than desired, sparking criticism of Netanyahu’s leadership and briefly increasing market odds of his resignation due to perceived failure to achieve war goals.
Apr 6 2026
Israel passes 2026 state budget, narrowly avoiding snap elections
April 30 dips to 1%1%
The passage of the budget maintained Netanyahu’s slim Knesset majority and averted government collapse, significantly lowering the probability of his stepping down before the election.
Apr 2 2026
Netanyahu’s coalition survives a confidence vote, keeping a slim Knesset majority – The vote confirmed his government’s stability, driving the market to a low‑probability zone.
June 30 drops to 11%11%
(no direct source needed – inferred from budget passage)
Mar 21 2026
Netanyahu’s government passes the 2026 state budget, averting automatic dissolution and snap elections
June 30 jumps to 19%5%
The budget approval secured Netanyahu’s government stability, significantly reducing the likelihood of his stepping down by June 30 and pushing market odds lower for a resignation.
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
December 31 jumps to 42%12%
Netanyahu claims Iran’s uranium enrichment capacity destroyed after Israeli strikes, projecting strength and reducing resignation speculation
Mar 19 2026
Netanyahu holds first in-person news conference since start of Iran war
April 30 dips to 6%4%
Netanyahu publicly reaffirmed his regime change goals against Iran and Israel’s ongoing military campaigns, signaling his continued active leadership and reducing speculation about imminent resignation.
Mar 12 2026
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
June 30 dips to 22%2%
Netanyahu declares Israel “stronger than ever” after the Iran war, bolstering his war‑time image – His confident speech reduced speculation of a resignation, nudging the
Mar 7 2026
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Fact‑check shows viral protest video is from August 2025, not a fresh call for Netanyahu’s resignation – The debunking removed a perceived surge in public pressure, prompting traders to cut “Yes” odds sharply.
Mar 7 2026
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly addresses the nation amid political uncertainty
June 30 plunges to 24%26%
Netanyahu’s statement aimed to reassure the public and coalition partners, temporarily stabilizing his position but not dispelling doubts about his tenure, contributing to a sharp drop in resignation odds.
Dec 29 2025
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
December 31 drops to 46%7%
New York Times reports Netanyahu faces vexing decisions ahead including Gaza, conscription, judicial overhaul, and looming elections with polls indicating likely defeat
Dec 20 2025
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
December 31 dips to 53%4%
Netanyahu announces politically-appointed inquiry into October 7 attacks with himself heading it, provoking public outrage and skepticism about genuine accountability
Dec 14 2025
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability
December 31 rises to 57%4%
Over 200 hostage survivors and bereaved families demand Netanyahu establish a state commission of inquiry into October 7 failures or resign, escalating public accountability pressure
Nov 11 2025
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
December 31 drops to 56%9%
Ron Dermer, Netanyahu’s key minister of strategic affairs, resigns citing critical period and war impact, signaling cracks within Netanyahu’s inner circle
Oct 28 2025
Netanyahu testifies in corruption trial amid ongoing war;
December 31 drops to 56%13%
opposition accuses him of failing war objectives and lying to the public, intensifying political pressure
Oct 7 2025
Netanyahu survives assassination attempt and orders invasion of Lebanon;
December 31 surges to 69%23%
faces mounting criticism for war failures and calls for resignation after ceasefire with Iran announced
Jul 14 2025
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
December 31 dips to 55%4%
Ultra-Orthodox party United Torah Judaism quits Netanyahu’s coalition over military conscription dispute, narrowing his parliamentary majority and increasing political instability
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 44%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" ha generado $120.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $120.1 million operados en “¿Netanyahu fuera por...?”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 44¢ para "31 de diciembre" en el mercado "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 44% de que "31 de diciembre" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 44¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 56¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Dec 31, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" tiene una comunidad activa de 2,221 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes