Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket odds for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent dominance in recent polls like the Genial/Quaest survey from April 22-26, where he topped first-round scenarios at 30-37% and won simulated runoffs decisively, such as 65% against Alexandre Kalil (PDT). Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB), at 20.5%, trails as a close second in some matchups following his April 1 party switch to align with federal leadership, while Mateus Simões (PSD) at 14.9% and tied contenders Benoni Mendes (Missão) and Kalil at 8.5% each draw support from regional bases amid a fragmented field. Traders weigh these polling trends and undecided voters, with no major shifts in the past week but potential for coalition talks or new surveys to influence first-round viability ahead of any October 25 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMinas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
Cleitinho Azevedo 56%
Rodrigo Pacheco 27%
Mateus Simões 12.3%
Alexandre Kalil 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
56%
Rodrigo Pacheco
27%
Mateus Simões
12%
Alexandre Kalil
11%
Benoni Mendes
8%
Tadeu Leite
1%
Nikolas Ferreira
1%
Aécio Neves
1%
Alexandre Silveira
1%
Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 56%
Rodrigo Pacheco 27%
Mateus Simões 12.3%
Alexandre Kalil 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$998 Vol.
56%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$277 Vol.
27%
Mateus Simões
$277 Vol.
12%
Alexandre Kalil
$205 Vol.
11%
Benoni Mendes
$138 Vol.
8%
Tadeu Leite
$160 Vol.
1%
Nikolas Ferreira
$253 Vol.
1%
Aécio Neves
$150 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Silveira
$150 Vol.
1%
Gabriel Azevedo
$150 Vol.
1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket odds for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent dominance in recent polls like the Genial/Quaest survey from April 22-26, where he topped first-round scenarios at 30-37% and won simulated runoffs decisively, such as 65% against Alexandre Kalil (PDT). Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB), at 20.5%, trails as a close second in some matchups following his April 1 party switch to align with federal leadership, while Mateus Simões (PSD) at 14.9% and tied contenders Benoni Mendes (Missão) and Kalil at 8.5% each draw support from regional bases amid a fragmented field. Traders weigh these polling trends and undecided voters, with no major shifts in the past week but potential for coalition talks or new surveys to influence first-round viability ahead of any October 25 runoff.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$2,755Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket odds for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent dominance in recent polls like the Genial/Quaest survey from April 22-26, where he topped first-round scenarios at 30-37% and won simulated runoffs decisively, such as 65% against Alexandre Kalil (PDT). Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB), at 20.5%, trails as a close second in some matchups following his April 1 party switch to align with federal leadership, while Mateus Simões (PSD) at 14.9% and tied contenders Benoni Mendes (Missão) and Kalil at 8.5% each draw support from regional bases amid a fragmented field. Traders weigh these polling trends and undecided voters, with no major shifts in the past week but potential for coalition talks or new surveys to influence first-round viability ahead of any October 25 runoff.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$2,755Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) leads Polymarket odds for the October 4, 2026, Minas Gerais gubernatorial election at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent dominance in recent polls like the Genial/Quaest survey from April 22-26, where he topped first-round scenarios at 30-37% and won simulated runoffs decisively, such as 65% against Alexandre Kalil (PDT). Rodrigo Pacheco (PSB), at 20.5%, trails as a close second in some matchups following his April 1 party switch to align with federal leadership, while Mateus Simões (PSD) at 14.9% and tied contenders Benoni Mendes (Missão) and Kalil at 8.5% each draw support from regional bases amid a fragmented field. Traders weigh these polling trends and undecided voters, with no major shifts in the past week but potential for coalition talks or new surveys to influence first-round viability ahead of any October 25 runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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