Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued June 10 project a minimum temperature of 18°C in Tokyo on June 11 under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early June climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 18°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with limited radiational cooling due to persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention. Nearby model guidance shows similar 17–19°C ranges, with minor spreads from variable humidity and light winds. Recent stability in these projections, absent major weather shifts in the past 48 hours, has reinforced trader consensus around the central forecast while leaving room for small revisions before final observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 11 de junio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 11 de junio?
18°C 45%
17°C 30%
19°C 19.4%
20°C 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
25%
18°C
45%
19°C
19%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 30%
19°C 19.4%
20°C 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
13°C o menos
$516 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,410 Vol.
1%
15°C
$26 Vol.
1%
16°C
$16 Vol.
2%
17°C
$56 Vol.
25%
18°C
$170 Vol.
45%
19°C
$26 Vol.
19%
20°C
$21 Vol.
5%
21°C
$345 Vol.
1%
22°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued June 10 project a minimum temperature of 18°C in Tokyo on June 11 under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early June climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 18°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with limited radiational cooling due to persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention. Nearby model guidance shows similar 17–19°C ranges, with minor spreads from variable humidity and light winds. Recent stability in these projections, absent major weather shifts in the past 48 hours, has reinforced trader consensus around the central forecast while leaving room for small revisions before final observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$3,280Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued June 10 project a minimum temperature of 18°C in Tokyo on June 11 under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early June climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 18°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with limited radiational cooling due to persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention. Nearby model guidance shows similar 17–19°C ranges, with minor spreads from variable humidity and light winds. Recent stability in these projections, absent major weather shifts in the past 48 hours, has reinforced trader consensus around the central forecast while leaving room for small revisions before final observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,280Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency issued June 10 project a minimum temperature of 18°C in Tokyo on June 11 under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the 45% market-implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical early June climatology, where average overnight lows hover near 18°C amid the onset of the rainy season, with limited radiational cooling due to persistent cloud cover and urban heat retention. Nearby model guidance shows similar 17–19°C ranges, with minor spreads from variable humidity and light winds. Recent stability in these projections, absent major weather shifts in the past 48 hours, has reinforced trader consensus around the central forecast while leaving room for small revisions before final observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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