Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models project Seoul's June 15 minimum near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds ahead of the East Asian monsoon. Trader consensus splits closely between these outcomes because small differences in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing can alter radiative cooling by 1°C. Clearer conditions favor the lower end through enhanced longwave heat loss, while increasing humidity traps warmth. Historical early-June climatology shows typical minima of 17–19°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 15 de junio?
19°C 41%
18°C 38%
17°C 7%
16°C 1.6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
42%
19°C
41%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 38%
17°C 7%
16°C 1.6%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
42%
19°C
41%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models project Seoul's June 15 minimum near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds ahead of the East Asian monsoon. Trader consensus splits closely between these outcomes because small differences in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing can alter radiative cooling by 1°C. Clearer conditions favor the lower end through enhanced longwave heat loss, while increasing humidity traps warmth. Historical early-June climatology shows typical minima of 17–19°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes