Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on June 11 centered near 9–11°C, driven by a high-pressure system promoting clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under a cooler maritime air mass. This setup contrasts with typical June climatology, where overnight lows average 13–14°C, and explains the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include variable cloud cover that could limit cooling, light winds reducing mixing, and any slight shift in steering flow that might introduce warmer air; updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this near-term uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 11 de junio?
10°C 29%
9°C 26%
11°C 6%
8°C 4%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
26%
10°C
29%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
10°C 29%
9°C 26%
11°C 6%
8°C 4%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
4%
9°C
26%
10°C
29%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on June 11 centered near 9–11°C, driven by a high-pressure system promoting clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under a cooler maritime air mass. This setup contrasts with typical June climatology, where overnight lows average 13–14°C, and explains the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating variables include variable cloud cover that could limit cooling, light winds reducing mixing, and any slight shift in steering flow that might introduce warmer air; updated model runs closer to the date will refine these thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this near-term uncertainty in short-range guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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