Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models place the June 15 overnight low in New York City near the long-term average of 62–67°F, driving the heaviest trading around 66–67°F. Variable cloud cover, light winds, and dew-point trends remain the dominant near-term variables, with radiational cooling potentially allowing brief dips into the low 60s if skies clear overnight. Higher outcomes would require stronger southerly flow or increased humidity, while cooler results hinge on unexpected northerly advection or enhanced radiational losses. Model spread stays wide this far ahead of the minimum, sustaining the broad probability distribution until the final NWS forecast update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de junio?
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 24%
64-65°F 20%
70-71°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
34%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
1%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 24%
64-65°F 20%
70-71°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
55°F o menos
$204 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,385 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$274 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$125 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$63 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$78 Vol.
34%
68-69°F
$110 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$815 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$859 Vol.
1%
74°F o más
$459 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models place the June 15 overnight low in New York City near the long-term average of 62–67°F, driving the heaviest trading around 66–67°F. Variable cloud cover, light winds, and dew-point trends remain the dominant near-term variables, with radiational cooling potentially allowing brief dips into the low 60s if skies clear overnight. Higher outcomes would require stronger southerly flow or increased humidity, while cooler results hinge on unexpected northerly advection or enhanced radiational losses. Model spread stays wide this far ahead of the minimum, sustaining the broad probability distribution until the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$5,653Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models place the June 15 overnight low in New York City near the long-term average of 62–67°F, driving the heaviest trading around 66–67°F. Variable cloud cover, light winds, and dew-point trends remain the dominant near-term variables, with radiational cooling potentially allowing brief dips into the low 60s if skies clear overnight. Higher outcomes would require stronger southerly flow or increased humidity, while cooler results hinge on unexpected northerly advection or enhanced radiational losses. Model spread stays wide this far ahead of the minimum, sustaining the broad probability distribution until the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,653Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models place the June 15 overnight low in New York City near the long-term average of 62–67°F, driving the heaviest trading around 66–67°F. Variable cloud cover, light winds, and dew-point trends remain the dominant near-term variables, with radiational cooling potentially allowing brief dips into the low 60s if skies clear overnight. Higher outcomes would require stronger southerly flow or increased humidity, while cooler results hinge on unexpected northerly advection or enhanced radiational losses. Model spread stays wide this far ahead of the minimum, sustaining the broad probability distribution until the final NWS forecast update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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