Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a sharp post-poll shift from Labour's Amanda De Ryk, now at 38.5%, amid national anti-incumbent sentiment against Labour. A YouGov MRP model released April 22—based on late-March to mid-April fieldwork—projects a tight Labour-Greens council contest in Lewisham within five points, fueling bets on Green momentum in this first-past-the-post race without incumbent Brenda Dacres, who joined the House of Lords. Shrivastava's recent pledge for 1,000 social rent homes bolsters his profile as opposition leader, while others trail far behind in this competitive inner-London borough.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Lewisham
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Lewisham
Liam Shrivastava 60%
Amanda De Ryk 38%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$39,016 Vol.
$39,016 Vol.
7 may 2026
Liam Shrivastava
60%
Amanda De Ryk
38%
Jay Coward
<1%
Kayode Damali
<1%
Josh Matthews
<1%
Roger Mighton
<1%
Peter Newman
<1%
Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
Liam Shrivastava 60%
Amanda De Ryk 38%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$39,016 Vol.
$39,016 Vol.
7 may 2026
Liam Shrivastava
$10,476 Vol.
60%
Amanda De Ryk
$12,792 Vol.
38%
Jay Coward
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
Kayode Damali
$2,677 Vol.
<1%
Josh Matthews
$3,627 Vol.
<1%
Roger Mighton
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Peter Newman
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
Sylbourne Sydial
$2,753 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a sharp post-poll shift from Labour's Amanda De Ryk, now at 38.5%, amid national anti-incumbent sentiment against Labour. A YouGov MRP model released April 22—based on late-March to mid-April fieldwork—projects a tight Labour-Greens council contest in Lewisham within five points, fueling bets on Green momentum in this first-past-the-post race without incumbent Brenda Dacres, who joined the House of Lords. Shrivastava's recent pledge for 1,000 social rent homes bolsters his profile as opposition leader, while others trail far behind in this competitive inner-London borough.
The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Volumen
$39,016Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a sharp post-poll shift from Labour's Amanda De Ryk, now at 38.5%, amid national anti-incumbent sentiment against Labour. A YouGov MRP model released April 22—based on late-March to mid-April fieldwork—projects a tight Labour-Greens council contest in Lewisham within five points, fueling bets on Green momentum in this first-past-the-post race without incumbent Brenda Dacres, who joined the House of Lords. Shrivastava's recent pledge for 1,000 social rent homes bolsters his profile as opposition leader, while others trail far behind in this competitive inner-London borough.
The 2026 Lewisham mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Volumen
$39,016Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 59.5% implied probability to win the Lewisham mayoral election on May 7, reflecting a sharp post-poll shift from Labour's Amanda De Ryk, now at 38.5%, amid national anti-incumbent sentiment against Labour. A YouGov MRP model released April 22—based on late-March to mid-April fieldwork—projects a tight Labour-Greens council contest in Lewisham within five points, fueling bets on Green momentum in this first-past-the-post race without incumbent Brenda Dacres, who joined the House of Lords. Shrivastava's recent pledge for 1,000 social rent homes bolsters his profile as opposition leader, while others trail far behind in this competitive inner-London borough.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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