Recent MRP polls from YouGov and Electoral Calculus, released in late April 2026, project Reform UK to secure substantial council seat gains across England—potentially 1,300–2,000—in the May 7 local elections, driven by voter dissatisfaction with Labour governance and Conservative decline in outer boroughs and rural areas. However, trader consensus prices a Reform mayoral victory at just 25%, reflecting the handful of directly elected local authority mayoral races (six total, including Tower Hamlets, Hackney, Croydon, and Newham) where Reform fields candidates like John Gerald Bullard and Clive Furness but trails strong incumbents such as Lutfur Rahman (Aspire) and Labour holders amid personality-driven dynamics and limited name recognition for challengers. No recent polling shows Reform leading any mayoral ballot, prioritizing council over executive wins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Recent MRP polls from YouGov and Electoral Calculus, released in late April 2026, project Reform UK to secure substantial council seat gains across England—potentially 1,300–2,000—in the May 7 local elections, driven by voter dissatisfaction with Labour governance and Conservative decline in outer boroughs and rural areas. However, trader consensus prices a Reform mayoral victory at just 25%, reflecting the handful of directly elected local authority mayoral races (six total, including Tower Hamlets, Hackney, Croydon, and Newham) where Reform fields candidates like John Gerald Bullard and Clive Furness but trails strong incumbents such as Lutfur Rahman (Aspire) and Labour holders amid personality-driven dynamics and limited name recognition for challengers. No recent polling shows Reform leading any mayoral ballot, prioritizing council over executive wins.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volumen
$2,031Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.Recent MRP polls from YouGov and Electoral Calculus, released in late April 2026, project Reform UK to secure substantial council seat gains across England—potentially 1,300–2,000—in the May 7 local elections, driven by voter dissatisfaction with Labour governance and Conservative decline in outer boroughs and rural areas. However, trader consensus prices a Reform mayoral victory at just 25%, reflecting the handful of directly elected local authority mayoral races (six total, including Tower Hamlets, Hackney, Croydon, and Newham) where Reform fields candidates like John Gerald Bullard and Clive Furness but trails strong incumbents such as Lutfur Rahman (Aspire) and Labour holders amid personality-driven dynamics and limited name recognition for challengers. No recent polling shows Reform leading any mayoral ballot, prioritizing council over executive wins.
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Volumen
$2,031Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent MRP polls from YouGov and Electoral Calculus, released in late April 2026, project Reform UK to secure substantial council seat gains across England—potentially 1,300–2,000—in the May 7 local elections, driven by voter dissatisfaction with Labour governance and Conservative decline in outer boroughs and rural areas. However, trader consensus prices a Reform mayoral victory at just 25%, reflecting the handful of directly elected local authority mayoral races (six total, including Tower Hamlets, Hackney, Croydon, and Newham) where Reform fields candidates like John Gerald Bullard and Clive Furness but trails strong incumbents such as Lutfur Rahman (Aspire) and Labour holders amid personality-driven dynamics and limited name recognition for challengers. No recent polling shows Reform leading any mayoral ballot, prioritizing council over executive wins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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