Trader consensus heavily favors Green Party candidate Zoë Garbett at 85.5% implied probability to win Hackney's mayoral election on May 7, driven by a recent YouGov MRP poll showing Greens edging Labour 35%-33% amid surging Green membership and volunteer momentum in this longtime Labour stronghold. Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley, elected in the 2023 by-election, faces a tighter race than past contests, with projections like PollCheck forecasting Greens securing the most council seats (25 of 57) in simultaneous local elections, potentially boosting Garbett's path under first-past-the-post voting. National Labour unpopularity and local issues like housing and divestment amplify Green gains, though late developments could shift the closely contested outcome before polls close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Hackney
Zoë Garbett 86%
Caroline Woodley 16%
Eva Steinhardt <1%
Vahid Almasi <1%
$17,193 Vol.
$17,193 Vol.
Zoë Garbett
86%
Caroline Woodley
16%
Eva Steinhardt
<1%
Vahid Almasi
<1%
Tareke Gregg
<1%
Zoë Garbett 86%
Caroline Woodley 16%
Eva Steinhardt <1%
Vahid Almasi <1%
$17,193 Vol.
$17,193 Vol.
Zoë Garbett
86%
Caroline Woodley
16%
Eva Steinhardt
<1%
Vahid Almasi
<1%
Tareke Gregg
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Green Party candidate Zoë Garbett at 85.5% implied probability to win Hackney's mayoral election on May 7, driven by a recent YouGov MRP poll showing Greens edging Labour 35%-33% amid surging Green membership and volunteer momentum in this longtime Labour stronghold. Incumbent Labour Mayor Caroline Woodley, elected in the 2023 by-election, faces a tighter race than past contests, with projections like PollCheck forecasting Greens securing the most council seats (25 of 57) in simultaneous local elections, potentially boosting Garbett's path under first-past-the-post voting. National Labour unpopularity and local issues like housing and divestment amplify Green gains, though late developments could shift the closely contested outcome before polls close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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