Trader consensus heavily favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 75% implied probability for the May 7 first-past-the-post Lewisham mayoral election, driven by a YouGov MRP released April 22 projecting Greens to narrowly claim the largest share on the local council—potentially ending Labour's long control in this left-leaning borough. Shrivastava, opposition leader critiquing Labour's handling of projects like Lewisham Gateway, benefits from the party's surge on housing and climate issues. Labour cabinet member Amanda De Ryk holds 23%, buoyed by incumbency continuity after Damien Egan's tenure but pressured by national discontent. Remaining candidates trail far behind, with final voter turnout key ahead of polls closing Thursday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Lewisham
Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Lewisham
Liam Shrivastava 75%
Amanda De Ryk 22%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$39,801 Vol.
$39,801 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
75%

Amanda De Ryk
22%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
Liam Shrivastava 75%
Amanda De Ryk 22%
Jay Coward <1%
Kayode Damali <1%
$39,801 Vol.
$39,801 Vol.

Liam Shrivastava
75%

Amanda De Ryk
22%

Jay Coward
<1%

Kayode Damali
<1%

Josh Matthews
<1%

Roger Mighton
<1%

Peter Newman
<1%

Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava at 75% implied probability for the May 7 first-past-the-post Lewisham mayoral election, driven by a YouGov MRP released April 22 projecting Greens to narrowly claim the largest share on the local council—potentially ending Labour's long control in this left-leaning borough. Shrivastava, opposition leader critiquing Labour's handling of projects like Lewisham Gateway, benefits from the party's surge on housing and climate issues. Labour cabinet member Amanda De Ryk holds 23%, buoyed by incumbency continuity after Damien Egan's tenure but pressured by national discontent. Remaining candidates trail far behind, with final voter turnout key ahead of polls closing Thursday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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