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icon for ¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?
Política·Reino Unido

¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?

icon for ¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?
Política·Reino Unido

¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?

Sí

28% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

28% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Andy Burnham departing as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31 reflects deep uncertainty fueled by his January expression of interest in the Gorton and Denton by-election, blocked by Labour's National Executive Committee, amid ongoing party turmoil and leadership speculation surrounding Keir Starmer. Recent poor polling for Labour ahead of May 7-8 local elections has revived talk of Burnham as a soft-left successor, potentially requiring a Commons return and mayoral resignation, though he has reaffirmed commitment to his term through 2028 via economic growth plans like the GM Good Growth Fund. Tipping factors include dismal local results prompting a leadership contest, or Burnham prioritizing regional devolution over Westminster ambitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$142
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Andy Burnham departing as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31 reflects deep uncertainty fueled by his January expression of interest in the Gorton and Denton by-election, blocked by Labour's National Executive Committee, amid ongoing party turmoil and leadership speculation surrounding Keir Starmer. Recent poor polling for Labour ahead of May 7-8 local elections has revived talk of Burnham as a soft-left successor, potentially requiring a Commons return and mayoral resignation, though he has reaffirmed commitment to his term through 2028 via economic growth plans like the GM Good Growth Fund. Tipping factors include dismal local results prompting a leadership contest, or Burnham prioritizing regional devolution over Westminster ambitions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$142
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Andy Burnham dejará de ser alcalde del Gran Mánchester antes del 31 de mayo?" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?" es "¿Andy Burnham dejará de ser alcalde del Gran Mánchester antes del 31 de mayo?" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Andy Burnham como alcalde de Greater Manchester antes del 31 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.