Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 remains unreleased, with trader consensus shaped by the April 20, 2026, launch of Kimi K2.6—a 1-trillion-parameter open-weight Mixture-of-Experts model topping leaderboards in agentic coding (58.6% SWE-Bench Pro) and swarms of 300 sub-agents for complex tasks. This rapid iteration from K2.5 underscores Moonshot's aggressive roadmap amid China's AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Baidu Wenxin 5.0. Rumors of K3's Q3 debut with 2.5T parameters and 1M+ context persist via leaks, fueled by January Series C funding, though compute bottlenecks loom. Watch for official tech blogs or AMAs signaling progress before summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$36,189 Vol.
30 jun 2026
April 30
1%
June 30
50%
31 de mayo
27%
$36,189 Vol.
April 30
$31,086 Vol.
1%
June 30
$2,791 Vol.
50%
31 de mayo
$2,311 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 remains unreleased, with trader consensus shaped by the April 20, 2026, launch of Kimi K2.6—a 1-trillion-parameter open-weight Mixture-of-Experts model topping leaderboards in agentic coding (58.6% SWE-Bench Pro) and swarms of 300 sub-agents for complex tasks. This rapid iteration from K2.5 underscores Moonshot's aggressive roadmap amid China's AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Baidu Wenxin 5.0. Rumors of K3's Q3 debut with 2.5T parameters and 1M+ context persist via leaks, fueled by January Series C funding, though compute bottlenecks loom. Watch for official tech blogs or AMAs signaling progress before summer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Volumen
$36,189Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 remains unreleased, with trader consensus shaped by the April 20, 2026, launch of Kimi K2.6—a 1-trillion-parameter open-weight Mixture-of-Experts model topping leaderboards in agentic coding (58.6% SWE-Bench Pro) and swarms of 300 sub-agents for complex tasks. This rapid iteration from K2.5 underscores Moonshot's aggressive roadmap amid China's AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Baidu Wenxin 5.0. Rumors of K3's Q3 debut with 2.5T parameters and 1M+ context persist via leaks, fueled by January Series C funding, though compute bottlenecks loom. Watch for official tech blogs or AMAs signaling progress before summer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$36,189Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 remains unreleased, with trader consensus shaped by the April 20, 2026, launch of Kimi K2.6—a 1-trillion-parameter open-weight Mixture-of-Experts model topping leaderboards in agentic coding (58.6% SWE-Bench Pro) and swarms of 300 sub-agents for complex tasks. This rapid iteration from K2.5 underscores Moonshot's aggressive roadmap amid China's AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Baidu Wenxin 5.0. Rumors of K3's Q3 debut with 2.5T parameters and 1M+ context persist via leaks, fueled by January Series C funding, though compute bottlenecks loom. Watch for official tech blogs or AMAs signaling progress before summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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