The @khamenei_ir account, maintained under institutional oversight following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s March 2026 death, has shown a consistent pattern of one to three posts per week consisting mainly of archival reposts rather than new statements. Similar weekly periods in recent months have produced minimal output in the absence of major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments that historically increase activity. With no scheduled events or escalations anticipated in the June 5–12 window, trader consensus prices the sub-five outcome at 75 percent, while higher ranges such as 15–19 or 20–24 reflect lower implied probabilities tied to the same low-activity baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?
<5 80%
5-9 17%
20-24 15.4%
40-44 12.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
<5
77%
5-9
17%
10-14
16%
15-19
16%
20-24
15%
25-29
16%
30-34
10%
35-39
5%
40-44
13%
45-49
3%
50-54
2%
55-59
2%
60+
2%
<5 80%
5-9 17%
20-24 15.4%
40-44 12.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
<5
$224 Vol.
77%
5-9
$0 Vol.
17%
10-14
$54 Vol.
16%
15-19
$53 Vol.
16%
20-24
$0 Vol.
15%
25-29
$50 Vol.
16%
30-34
$116 Vol.
10%
35-39
$126 Vol.
5%
40-44
$41 Vol.
13%
45-49
$96 Vol.
3%
50-54
$132 Vol.
2%
55-59
$181 Vol.
2%
60+
$131 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, maintained under institutional oversight following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s March 2026 death, has shown a consistent pattern of one to three posts per week consisting mainly of archival reposts rather than new statements. Similar weekly periods in recent months have produced minimal output in the absence of major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments that historically increase activity. With no scheduled events or escalations anticipated in the June 5–12 window, trader consensus prices the sub-five outcome at 75 percent, while higher ranges such as 15–19 or 20–24 reflect lower implied probabilities tied to the same low-activity baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,202Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, maintained under institutional oversight following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s March 2026 death, has shown a consistent pattern of one to three posts per week consisting mainly of archival reposts rather than new statements. Similar weekly periods in recent months have produced minimal output in the absence of major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments that historically increase activity. With no scheduled events or escalations anticipated in the June 5–12 window, trader consensus prices the sub-five outcome at 75 percent, while higher ranges such as 15–19 or 20–24 reflect lower implied probabilities tied to the same low-activity baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,202Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, maintained under institutional oversight following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s March 2026 death, has shown a consistent pattern of one to three posts per week consisting mainly of archival reposts rather than new statements. Similar weekly periods in recent months have produced minimal output in the absence of major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments that historically increase activity. With no scheduled events or escalations anticipated in the June 5–12 window, trader consensus prices the sub-five outcome at 75 percent, while higher ranges such as 15–19 or 20–24 reflect lower implied probabilities tied to the same low-activity baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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