The @khamenei_ir account maintains a selective posting pattern on X, issuing statements primarily in response to major diplomatic or security developments rather than on a regular schedule. Following the February 2026 leadership transition after the prior Supreme Leader's assassination, activity has remained low outside acute events, supporting trader consensus around minimal output during the resolution window. Overlapping prior weekly contracts resolved below five posts at high implied probability, reflecting the same restrained baseline absent escalations involving Israel, the United States, or other regional triggers. A surge could still occur if new policy directives or crises require immediate clarification, though no such catalysts have materialized in the current period.