Elon Musk’s baseline posting rhythm on X, typically 12–20 tweets daily during periods without major product launches or political flashpoints, anchors trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket at 56.5% implied probability for the June 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady engagement with Tesla and xAI updates rather than viral surges, keeping volume in a moderate range for a three-day stretch. Adjacent bins at 65-89 (21.0%) and below 40 (19.5%) capture residual uncertainty around possible weekend slowdowns or minor spikes, while outcomes above 90 remain under 3% combined. With no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the market reflects observed cadence over anticipated volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 56%
65-89 23%
<40 20%
90-114 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jun 2026
<40
20%
40-64
56%
65-89
23%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 23%
<40 20%
90-114 2.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jun 2026
<40
$30 Vol.
20%
40-64
$50 Vol.
56%
65-89
$65 Vol.
23%
90-114
$130 Vol.
2%
115-139
$105 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,115 Vol.
1%
165-189
$100 Vol.
1%
190-214
$100 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$100 Vol.
<1%
240+
$630 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s baseline posting rhythm on X, typically 12–20 tweets daily during periods without major product launches or political flashpoints, anchors trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket at 56.5% implied probability for the June 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady engagement with Tesla and xAI updates rather than viral surges, keeping volume in a moderate range for a three-day stretch. Adjacent bins at 65-89 (21.0%) and below 40 (19.5%) capture residual uncertainty around possible weekend slowdowns or minor spikes, while outcomes above 90 remain under 3% combined. With no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the market reflects observed cadence over anticipated volatility.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,425Fecha de finalización
8 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s baseline posting rhythm on X, typically 12–20 tweets daily during periods without major product launches or political flashpoints, anchors trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket at 56.5% implied probability for the June 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady engagement with Tesla and xAI updates rather than viral surges, keeping volume in a moderate range for a three-day stretch. Adjacent bins at 65-89 (21.0%) and below 40 (19.5%) capture residual uncertainty around possible weekend slowdowns or minor spikes, while outcomes above 90 remain under 3% combined. With no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the market reflects observed cadence over anticipated volatility.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$2,425Fecha de finalización
8 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s baseline posting rhythm on X, typically 12–20 tweets daily during periods without major product launches or political flashpoints, anchors trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket at 56.5% implied probability for the June 6–8 window. Recent activity shows steady engagement with Tesla and xAI updates rather than viral surges, keeping volume in a moderate range for a three-day stretch. Adjacent bins at 65-89 (21.0%) and below 40 (19.5%) capture residual uncertainty around possible weekend slowdowns or minor spikes, while outcomes above 90 remain under 3% combined. With no confirmed high-impact catalysts on the immediate horizon, the market reflects observed cadence over anticipated volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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