**Traders assign a 76% probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during the June 12–19 window, with the next bracket (5–9 posts) at just 12.4%.** This consensus reflects the leader's established pattern of limited personal social-media activity since assuming office earlier in 2026, combined with the timing of recent official developments. On June 13, Iranian authorities announced funeral and burial dates for the late Ali Khamenei, scheduling ceremonies in Tehran and Qom for early July and interment in Mashhad on July 9. State institutions are now focused on national mourning protocols, leadership transition logistics, and ongoing diplomatic and security matters with the United States and Israel. These priorities typically channel official communications through formal channels or state media rather than frequent X activity by the Supreme Leader himself. Historical posting rates by the account and the current environment of institutional focus support the market's expectation of minimal output in the resolution period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 77%
5-9 12.4%
10-14 4.0%
20-24 2.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<5
77%
5-9
12%
10-14
4%
15-19
6%
20-24
3%
25-29
1%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
1%
60+
<1%
<5 77%
5-9 12.4%
10-14 4.0%
20-24 2.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<5
$2,177 Vol.
77%
5-9
$249 Vol.
12%
10-14
$284 Vol.
4%
15-19
$307 Vol.
6%
20-24
$256 Vol.
3%
25-29
$249 Vol.
1%
30-34
$375 Vol.
2%
35-39
$424 Vol.
1%
40-44
$297 Vol.
1%
45-49
$214 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$286 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$201 Vol.
1%
60+
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders assign a 76% probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during the June 12–19 window, with the next bracket (5–9 posts) at just 12.4%.**
This consensus reflects the leader's established pattern of limited personal social-media activity since assuming office earlier in 2026, combined with the timing of recent official developments. On June 13, Iranian authorities announced funeral and burial dates for the late Ali Khamenei, scheduling ceremonies in Tehran and Qom for early July and interment in Mashhad on July 9. State institutions are now focused on national mourning protocols, leadership transition logistics, and ongoing diplomatic and security matters with the United States and Israel. These priorities typically channel official communications through formal channels or state media rather than frequent X activity by the Supreme Leader himself. Historical posting rates by the account and the current environment of institutional focus support the market's expectation of minimal output in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$5,395Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders assign a 76% probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during the June 12–19 window, with the next bracket (5–9 posts) at just 12.4%.**
This consensus reflects the leader's established pattern of limited personal social-media activity since assuming office earlier in 2026, combined with the timing of recent official developments. On June 13, Iranian authorities announced funeral and burial dates for the late Ali Khamenei, scheduling ceremonies in Tehran and Qom for early July and interment in Mashhad on July 9. State institutions are now focused on national mourning protocols, leadership transition logistics, and ongoing diplomatic and security matters with the United States and Israel. These priorities typically channel official communications through formal channels or state media rather than frequent X activity by the Supreme Leader himself. Historical posting rates by the account and the current environment of institutional focus support the market's expectation of minimal output in the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$5,395Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders assign a 76% probability to fewer than five posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei on X during the June 12–19 window, with the next bracket (5–9 posts) at just 12.4%.** This consensus reflects the leader's established pattern of limited personal social-media activity since assuming office earlier in 2026, combined with the timing of recent official developments. On June 13, Iranian authorities announced funeral and burial dates for the late Ali Khamenei, scheduling ceremonies in Tehran and Qom for early July and interment in Mashhad on July 9. State institutions are now focused on national mourning protocols, leadership transition logistics, and ongoing diplomatic and security matters with the United States and Israel. These priorities typically channel official communications through formal channels or state media rather than frequent X activity by the Supreme Leader himself. Historical posting rates by the account and the current environment of institutional focus support the market's expectation of minimal output in the resolution period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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