A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two felony counts—threatening the President under 18 U.S.C. § 871(a) and transmitting a threat in interstate commerce—stemming from a 2025 social media photo of seashells arranged as "86 47," which prosecutors interpret as a violent reference to President Trump. Comey made his initial court appearance the next day, denying the charges amid criticism from former prosecutors labeling the case meritless. Despite this aggressive DOJ pursuit under Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, traders price a 91.5% "No" probability for a 2026 prison sentence, citing evidentiary weaknesses, prior 2025 charges dismissed without prejudice, lengthy federal trial timelines potentially extending beyond year-end, and strong defense motions expected, with Durham probe yielding no prior indictments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿James Comey sentenciado a prisión en 2026?
¿James Comey sentenciado a prisión en 2026?
Sí
$160,431 Vol.
$160,431 Vol.
Sí
$160,431 Vol.
$160,431 Vol.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two felony counts—threatening the President under 18 U.S.C. § 871(a) and transmitting a threat in interstate commerce—stemming from a 2025 social media photo of seashells arranged as "86 47," which prosecutors interpret as a violent reference to President Trump. Comey made his initial court appearance the next day, denying the charges amid criticism from former prosecutors labeling the case meritless. Despite this aggressive DOJ pursuit under Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, traders price a 91.5% "No" probability for a 2026 prison sentence, citing evidentiary weaknesses, prior 2025 charges dismissed without prejudice, lengthy federal trial timelines potentially extending beyond year-end, and strong defense motions expected, with Durham probe yielding no prior indictments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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