Israeli military operations remain concentrated in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, where ground forces have advanced since March 2026, capturing positions such as Beaufort Castle and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposals in April and early June collapsed after Hezbollah rejected terms requiring its withdrawal from the south without a simultaneous full Israeli pullout. Recent Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs following drone and rocket exchanges, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Traders price a low probability of entry by near-term resolution dates because Israeli policy prioritizes border security and degradation of Hezbollah capabilities over deeper advances into Beirut, amid active diplomatic efforts to stabilize the Lebanon front separate from U.S.-Iran talks. Ongoing violations on both sides and scheduled follow-on negotiations could still shift dynamics within the market window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Las fuerzas israelíes entran en Beirut por...?
¿Las fuerzas israelíes entran en Beirut por...?
$40,463 Vol.
31 may 2026
June 30
1%
$40,463 Vol.
June 30
$29,263 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations remain concentrated in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, where ground forces have advanced since March 2026, capturing positions such as Beaufort Castle and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposals in April and early June collapsed after Hezbollah rejected terms requiring its withdrawal from the south without a simultaneous full Israeli pullout. Recent Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs following drone and rocket exchanges, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Traders price a low probability of entry by near-term resolution dates because Israeli policy prioritizes border security and degradation of Hezbollah capabilities over deeper advances into Beirut, amid active diplomatic efforts to stabilize the Lebanon front separate from U.S.-Iran talks. Ongoing violations on both sides and scheduled follow-on negotiations could still shift dynamics within the market window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Volumen
$40,463Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations remain concentrated in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, where ground forces have advanced since March 2026, capturing positions such as Beaufort Castle and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposals in April and early June collapsed after Hezbollah rejected terms requiring its withdrawal from the south without a simultaneous full Israeli pullout. Recent Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs following drone and rocket exchanges, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Traders price a low probability of entry by near-term resolution dates because Israeli policy prioritizes border security and degradation of Hezbollah capabilities over deeper advances into Beirut, amid active diplomatic efforts to stabilize the Lebanon front separate from U.S.-Iran talks. Ongoing violations on both sides and scheduled follow-on negotiations could still shift dynamics within the market window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$40,463Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations remain concentrated in southern Lebanon south of the Litani River, where ground forces have advanced since March 2026, capturing positions such as Beaufort Castle and conducting targeted strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure. Multiple U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposals in April and early June collapsed after Hezbollah rejected terms requiring its withdrawal from the south without a simultaneous full Israeli pullout. Recent Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs following drone and rocket exchanges, yet no ground incursions into the capital have occurred. Traders price a low probability of entry by near-term resolution dates because Israeli policy prioritizes border security and degradation of Hezbollah capabilities over deeper advances into Beirut, amid active diplomatic efforts to stabilize the Lebanon front separate from U.S.-Iran talks. Ongoing violations on both sides and scheduled follow-on negotiations could still shift dynamics within the market window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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