With three weeks until South Korea's June 3 local elections for 17 governor and mayor races, trader consensus reflects deepening uncertainty, pricing all outcome buckets from ≤10 to ≥16 Democratic Party (DP) wins equally at 50%, as recent polls show tightening contests in battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu. DP candidates, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung's 60%+ approval and incumbency in most races, hold slim leads—Seoul's Chong Won-o ahead of Oh Se-hoon by eight points, Busan neck-and-neck—but gaps have narrowed within margins of error amid surging unaffiliated voters (20-35%) and People Power Party consolidation. Final TV debates, campaign pledges on housing and economy, or gaffes could tip pivotal Yeongnam races, determining if DP retains its 2022 sweep of 14 seats or cedes ground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
How many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
14 50%
≤10 41%
11 41%
12 41%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 jun 2026
≤10
41%
11
41%
12
41%
13
41%
14
50%
15
41%
≥16
41%
14 50%
≤10 41%
11 41%
12 41%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 jun 2026
≤10
$0 Vol.
41%
11
$0 Vol.
41%
12
$0 Vol.
41%
13
$0 Vol.
41%
14
$1 Vol.
50%
15
$0 Vol.
41%
≥16
$0 Vol.
41%
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.With three weeks until South Korea's June 3 local elections for 17 governor and mayor races, trader consensus reflects deepening uncertainty, pricing all outcome buckets from ≤10 to ≥16 Democratic Party (DP) wins equally at 50%, as recent polls show tightening contests in battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu. DP candidates, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung's 60%+ approval and incumbency in most races, hold slim leads—Seoul's Chong Won-o ahead of Oh Se-hoon by eight points, Busan neck-and-neck—but gaps have narrowed within margins of error amid surging unaffiliated voters (20-35%) and People Power Party consolidation. Final TV debates, campaign pledges on housing and economy, or gaffes could tip pivotal Yeongnam races, determining if DP retains its 2022 sweep of 14 seats or cedes ground.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.With three weeks until South Korea's June 3 local elections for 17 governor and mayor races, trader consensus reflects deepening uncertainty, pricing all outcome buckets from ≤10 to ≥16 Democratic Party (DP) wins equally at 50%, as recent polls show tightening contests in battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu. DP candidates, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung's 60%+ approval and incumbency in most races, hold slim leads—Seoul's Chong Won-o ahead of Oh Se-hoon by eight points, Busan neck-and-neck—but gaps have narrowed within margins of error amid surging unaffiliated voters (20-35%) and People Power Party consolidation. Final TV debates, campaign pledges on housing and economy, or gaffes could tip pivotal Yeongnam races, determining if DP retains its 2022 sweep of 14 seats or cedes ground.
South Korean local elections are scheduled to be held on June 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volumen
$1Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With three weeks until South Korea's June 3 local elections for 17 governor and mayor races, trader consensus reflects deepening uncertainty, pricing all outcome buckets from ≤10 to ≥16 Democratic Party (DP) wins equally at 50%, as recent polls show tightening contests in battlegrounds like Seoul, Busan, and Daegu. DP candidates, buoyed by President Lee Jae-myung's 60%+ approval and incumbency in most races, hold slim leads—Seoul's Chong Won-o ahead of Oh Se-hoon by eight points, Busan neck-and-neck—but gaps have narrowed within margins of error amid surging unaffiliated voters (20-35%) and People Power Party consolidation. Final TV debates, campaign pledges on housing and economy, or gaffes could tip pivotal Yeongnam races, determining if DP retains its 2022 sweep of 14 seats or cedes ground.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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