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icon for ¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?

¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?

icon for ¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?

¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

1-100 44.5%

101-1k 16.4%

1k-2.5k 4.9%

5k-10k 4.1%

Polymarket

$174,409 Vol.

1-100 44.5%

101-1k 16.4%

1k-2.5k 4.9%

5k-10k 4.1%

Polymarket

$174,409 Vol.

1-100

$14,060 Vol.

45%

101-1k

$7,665 Vol.

16%

1k-2.5k

$8,827 Vol.

5%

2.5k-5k

$5,910 Vol.

4%

5k-10k

$8,661 Vol.

4%

10k-25k

$58,196 Vol.

3%

25k-100k

$6,589 Vol.

3%

>100k

$20,073 Vol.

1%

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's April 23 congressional testimony confirmed only one Trump Gold Card—offering U.S. residency for a $1 million contribution plus $15,000 fee—has been fully approved since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, despite initial claims of $1.3 billion in sales referring to unfinalized applications. A new White House legal filing revealed just 165 individuals have paid the application fee amid rigorous DHS and USCIS vetting, bureaucratic delays, and competition from cheaper EB-5 investor visas. Traders reflect this sluggish rollout in consensus odds favoring 1-100 cards sold in 2026 at 45.9%, with higher brackets trailing due to high barriers and no signs of acceleration ahead of potential congressional scrutiny.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$174,409
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's April 23 congressional testimony confirmed only one Trump Gold Card—offering U.S. residency for a $1 million contribution plus $15,000 fee—has been fully approved since the program's December 2025 launch via executive order, despite initial claims of $1.3 billion in sales referring to unfinalized applications. A new White House legal filing revealed just 165 individuals have paid the application fee amid rigorous DHS and USCIS vetting, bureaucratic delays, and competition from cheaper EB-5 investor visas. Traders reflect this sluggish rollout in consensus odds favoring 1-100 cards sold in 2026 at 45.9%, with higher brackets trailing due to high barriers and no signs of acceleration ahead of potential congressional scrutiny.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$174,409
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1-100" con 45%, seguido de "101-1k" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?" ha generado $174.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?" es "1-100" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "101-1k" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántas tarjetas doradas venderá Trump en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.