President Trump's approval rating has fallen to second-term lows around 39-41% in late April polling averages from Nate Silver's Bulletin and RealClearPolitics, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that has pushed national gas prices above $4 per gallon and economic disapproval to record lows, with 52% of voters viewing the economy as worse than under Biden. Recent surveys like Reuters/Ipsos (37% approve) and Economist/YouGov (40% approve) highlight widespread concerns over inflation, cost of living, and war handling, despite some support for U.S. airstrikes. This marks a sharp drop from early-2026 highs above 50%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent headwinds like foreign policy escalation and midterm pressures ahead in November, though de-escalation or positive economic data could lift ratings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
10%
↑ 46%
39%
↑ 47%
50%
↑ 48%
45%
↑ 49%
49%
↑ 50%
18%
$4,531 Vol.
↑ 44%
$2,667 Vol.
12%
↑ 45%
$103 Vol.
10%
↑ 46%
$523 Vol.
39%
↑ 47%
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ 48%
$353 Vol.
45%
↑ 49%
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 50%
$885 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has fallen to second-term lows around 39-41% in late April polling averages from Nate Silver's Bulletin and RealClearPolitics, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that has pushed national gas prices above $4 per gallon and economic disapproval to record lows, with 52% of voters viewing the economy as worse than under Biden. Recent surveys like Reuters/Ipsos (37% approve) and Economist/YouGov (40% approve) highlight widespread concerns over inflation, cost of living, and war handling, despite some support for U.S. airstrikes. This marks a sharp drop from early-2026 highs above 50%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent headwinds like foreign policy escalation and midterm pressures ahead in November, though de-escalation or positive economic data could lift ratings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$4,531Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has fallen to second-term lows around 39-41% in late April polling averages from Nate Silver's Bulletin and RealClearPolitics, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that has pushed national gas prices above $4 per gallon and economic disapproval to record lows, with 52% of voters viewing the economy as worse than under Biden. Recent surveys like Reuters/Ipsos (37% approve) and Economist/YouGov (40% approve) highlight widespread concerns over inflation, cost of living, and war handling, despite some support for U.S. airstrikes. This marks a sharp drop from early-2026 highs above 50%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent headwinds like foreign policy escalation and midterm pressures ahead in November, though de-escalation or positive economic data could lift ratings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$4,531Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has fallen to second-term lows around 39-41% in late April polling averages from Nate Silver's Bulletin and RealClearPolitics, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that has pushed national gas prices above $4 per gallon and economic disapproval to record lows, with 52% of voters viewing the economy as worse than under Biden. Recent surveys like Reuters/Ipsos (37% approve) and Economist/YouGov (40% approve) highlight widespread concerns over inflation, cost of living, and war handling, despite some support for U.S. airstrikes. This marks a sharp drop from early-2026 highs above 50%, reflecting trader consensus on persistent headwinds like foreign policy escalation and midterm pressures ahead in November, though de-escalation or positive economic data could lift ratings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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