Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research outlooks and short-range model guidance indicate near-average winter conditions for Wellington, with daytime maxima most likely between 11–13°C on June 16. Typical June highs average 12–13°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows, frequent cloud cover, and occasional southerly outbreaks that limit daytime warming. Current ensemble forecasts show modest precipitation and stable steering patterns that suppress significant departures from climatology, aligning trader consensus around 12°C as the modal outcome. Model spread and potential late adjustments in wind direction or clearance timing introduce the observed probability mass across 11–13°C bins while keeping extremes below 10%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 46%
13°C 25%
11°C 25%
14°C 4.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
25%
12°C
46%
13°C
25%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 46%
13°C 25%
11°C 25%
14°C 4.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
7°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$198 Vol.
1%
10°C
$712 Vol.
2%
11°C
$1,149 Vol.
25%
12°C
$755 Vol.
46%
13°C
$1,471 Vol.
25%
14°C
$2,949 Vol.
4%
15°C
$2,278 Vol.
1%
16°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research outlooks and short-range model guidance indicate near-average winter conditions for Wellington, with daytime maxima most likely between 11–13°C on June 16. Typical June highs average 12–13°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows, frequent cloud cover, and occasional southerly outbreaks that limit daytime warming. Current ensemble forecasts show modest precipitation and stable steering patterns that suppress significant departures from climatology, aligning trader consensus around 12°C as the modal outcome. Model spread and potential late adjustments in wind direction or clearance timing introduce the observed probability mass across 11–13°C bins while keeping extremes below 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$9,809Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research outlooks and short-range model guidance indicate near-average winter conditions for Wellington, with daytime maxima most likely between 11–13°C on June 16. Typical June highs average 12–13°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows, frequent cloud cover, and occasional southerly outbreaks that limit daytime warming. Current ensemble forecasts show modest precipitation and stable steering patterns that suppress significant departures from climatology, aligning trader consensus around 12°C as the modal outcome. Model spread and potential late adjustments in wind direction or clearance timing introduce the observed probability mass across 11–13°C bins while keeping extremes below 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,809Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research outlooks and short-range model guidance indicate near-average winter conditions for Wellington, with daytime maxima most likely between 11–13°C on June 16. Typical June highs average 12–13°C under the influence of prevailing westerly flows, frequent cloud cover, and occasional southerly outbreaks that limit daytime warming. Current ensemble forecasts show modest precipitation and stable steering patterns that suppress significant departures from climatology, aligning trader consensus around 12°C as the modal outcome. Model spread and potential late adjustments in wind direction or clearance timing introduce the observed probability mass across 11–13°C bins while keeping extremes below 10%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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