Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a Warsaw high of 19–20°C on June 16, with light rain, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s near-even split between 19°C (34.5%) and 20°C (35.0%), as small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the observed maximum by 1°C. Mid-June climatology averages 21–22°C, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed temperatures, keeping higher outcomes like 21–22°C below 20% combined implied probability. Traders are watching the next European model runs for any afternoon clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C before resolution based on official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 35%
20°C 34%
21°C 16.5%
18°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
34%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 34%
21°C 16.5%
18°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
15°C o menos
$323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$99 Vol.
3%
18°C
$652 Vol.
8%
19°C
$586 Vol.
35%
20°C
$497 Vol.
34%
21°C
$254 Vol.
17%
22°C
$173 Vol.
6%
23°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$671 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a Warsaw high of 19–20°C on June 16, with light rain, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s near-even split between 19°C (34.5%) and 20°C (35.0%), as small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the observed maximum by 1°C. Mid-June climatology averages 21–22°C, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed temperatures, keeping higher outcomes like 21–22°C below 20% combined implied probability. Traders are watching the next European model runs for any afternoon clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C before resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$3,852Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a Warsaw high of 19–20°C on June 16, with light rain, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s near-even split between 19°C (34.5%) and 20°C (35.0%), as small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the observed maximum by 1°C. Mid-June climatology averages 21–22°C, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed temperatures, keeping higher outcomes like 21–22°C below 20% combined implied probability. Traders are watching the next European model runs for any afternoon clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C before resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,852Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a Warsaw high of 19–20°C on June 16, with light rain, moderate westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation and daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s near-even split between 19°C (34.5%) and 20°C (35.0%), as small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the observed maximum by 1°C. Mid-June climatology averages 21–22°C, but the current synoptic setup favors suppressed temperatures, keeping higher outcomes like 21–22°C below 20% combined implied probability. Traders are watching the next European model runs for any afternoon clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C before resolution based on official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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