Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for June 16 show 2-meter maximum temperatures in Warsaw tightly clustered between 18–21°C, producing the near-even split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of peak insolation under variable cloud cover, modest southerly advection of warmer continental air, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect at the official measuring site. Overnight model updates and the diurnal temperature range—typically 8–10°C in mid-June—remain the main sources of residual spread, with any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the highest reading by one degree. Traders therefore monitor the next 00Z and 12Z cycles for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 35%
20°C 35%
21°C 14.2%
18°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
14%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 35%
21°C 14.2%
18°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
15°C o menos
$323 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$99 Vol.
3%
18°C
$652 Vol.
8%
19°C
$584 Vol.
35%
20°C
$494 Vol.
35%
21°C
$254 Vol.
14%
22°C
$168 Vol.
6%
23°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$671 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for June 16 show 2-meter maximum temperatures in Warsaw tightly clustered between 18–21°C, producing the near-even split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of peak insolation under variable cloud cover, modest southerly advection of warmer continental air, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect at the official measuring site. Overnight model updates and the diurnal temperature range—typically 8–10°C in mid-June—remain the main sources of residual spread, with any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the highest reading by one degree. Traders therefore monitor the next 00Z and 12Z cycles for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$3,740Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for June 16 show 2-meter maximum temperatures in Warsaw tightly clustered between 18–21°C, producing the near-even split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of peak insolation under variable cloud cover, modest southerly advection of warmer continental air, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect at the official measuring site. Overnight model updates and the diurnal temperature range—typically 8–10°C in mid-June—remain the main sources of residual spread, with any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the highest reading by one degree. Traders therefore monitor the next 00Z and 12Z cycles for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,740Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for June 16 show 2-meter maximum temperatures in Warsaw tightly clustered between 18–21°C, producing the near-even split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of peak insolation under variable cloud cover, modest southerly advection of warmer continental air, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect at the official measuring site. Overnight model updates and the diurnal temperature range—typically 8–10°C in mid-June—remain the main sources of residual spread, with any late-day clearing or delayed frontal passage able to shift the highest reading by one degree. Traders therefore monitor the next 00Z and 12Z cycles for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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