Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a partly cloudy day with a maximum of 27°C in Tokyo on June 16, placing that outcome near parity with 26°C in trader pricing. Ensemble model runs and regional guidance show minor spread around this value due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, driven by concrete and reduced evapotranspiration, consistently adds localized warmth relative to suburban stations, while early tsuyu-season humidity supports modest instability without widespread convection. These factors keep probabilities tightly clustered, with new model updates or real-time observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 34%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
34%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 34%
25°C 16%
28°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
$748 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,219 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,054 Vol.
1%
24°C
$689 Vol.
6%
25°C
$400 Vol.
16%
26°C
$357 Vol.
36%
27°C
$318 Vol.
34%
28°C
$452 Vol.
10%
29°C
$183 Vol.
2%
30°C
$124 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$890 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a partly cloudy day with a maximum of 27°C in Tokyo on June 16, placing that outcome near parity with 26°C in trader pricing. Ensemble model runs and regional guidance show minor spread around this value due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, driven by concrete and reduced evapotranspiration, consistently adds localized warmth relative to suburban stations, while early tsuyu-season humidity supports modest instability without widespread convection. These factors keep probabilities tightly clustered, with new model updates or real-time observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$7,395Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a partly cloudy day with a maximum of 27°C in Tokyo on June 16, placing that outcome near parity with 26°C in trader pricing. Ensemble model runs and regional guidance show minor spread around this value due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, driven by concrete and reduced evapotranspiration, consistently adds localized warmth relative to suburban stations, while early tsuyu-season humidity supports modest instability without widespread convection. These factors keep probabilities tightly clustered, with new model updates or real-time observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,395Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a partly cloudy day with a maximum of 27°C in Tokyo on June 16, placing that outcome near parity with 26°C in trader pricing. Ensemble model runs and regional guidance show minor spread around this value due to variable afternoon cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which can suppress peak heating by 1–2°C. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, driven by concrete and reduced evapotranspiration, consistently adds localized warmth relative to suburban stations, while early tsuyu-season humidity supports modest instability without widespread convection. These factors keep probabilities tightly clustered, with new model updates or real-time observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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