Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and other major centers converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Wuhan on June 14, driven by strengthening subtropical high pressure, peak seasonal solar insolation, and typical mid-June humidity levels in central China. This consensus aligns with climatological trends showing average highs climbing toward 30–31°C by mid-month, with historical data indicating limited exceedances above 34°C absent strong anomalies. The 100% market-implied probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of forecast stability and official measurement criteria at stations like Wuhan Tianhe Airport. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in cloud cover, unexpected convective rainfall, or late model revisions that could alter the observed peak by 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
$65,228 Vol.
$65,228 Vol.
14 jun 2026
29°C
100%
29°C 100.0%
$65,228 Vol.
$65,228 Vol.
14 jun 2026
29°C
$13,017 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and other major centers converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Wuhan on June 14, driven by strengthening subtropical high pressure, peak seasonal solar insolation, and typical mid-June humidity levels in central China. This consensus aligns with climatological trends showing average highs climbing toward 30–31°C by mid-month, with historical data indicating limited exceedances above 34°C absent strong anomalies. The 100% market-implied probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of forecast stability and official measurement criteria at stations like Wuhan Tianhe Airport. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in cloud cover, unexpected convective rainfall, or late model revisions that could alter the observed peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$65,228Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and other major centers converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Wuhan on June 14, driven by strengthening subtropical high pressure, peak seasonal solar insolation, and typical mid-June humidity levels in central China. This consensus aligns with climatological trends showing average highs climbing toward 30–31°C by mid-month, with historical data indicating limited exceedances above 34°C absent strong anomalies. The 100% market-implied probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of forecast stability and official measurement criteria at stations like Wuhan Tianhe Airport. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in cloud cover, unexpected convective rainfall, or late model revisions that could alter the observed peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$65,228Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Ventana de disputas
Final
Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and other major centers converge on a daytime maximum of 29°C in Wuhan on June 14, driven by strengthening subtropical high pressure, peak seasonal solar insolation, and typical mid-June humidity levels in central China. This consensus aligns with climatological trends showing average highs climbing toward 30–31°C by mid-month, with historical data indicating limited exceedances above 34°C absent strong anomalies. The 100% market-implied probability on 29°C reflects traders' assessment of forecast stability and official measurement criteria at stations like Wuhan Tianhe Airport. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in cloud cover, unexpected convective rainfall, or late model revisions that could alter the observed peak by 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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