Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a daytime maximum in Shenzhen of 28–30°C on June 16, with scattered convection and persistent cloud cover under the East Asian summer monsoon keeping extremes in check. High humidity near 80–90% and potential thundershowers limit radiative heating, while sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate coastal readings. June climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, but current runs align closely without strong subtropical ridge amplification or clear-sky conditions that would push temperatures higher. Traders’ tight clustering around 29°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 16?
29°C 36%
30°C 27%
28°C 25%
31°C 7.6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
25%
29°C
36%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 27%
28°C 25%
31°C 7.6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
25%
29°C
36%
30°C
27%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to a daytime maximum in Shenzhen of 28–30°C on June 16, with scattered convection and persistent cloud cover under the East Asian summer monsoon keeping extremes in check. High humidity near 80–90% and potential thundershowers limit radiative heating, while sea-breeze effects from the South China Sea further moderate coastal readings. June climatology shows average highs near 30–31°C, but current runs align closely without strong subtropical ridge amplification or clear-sky conditions that would push temperatures higher. Traders’ tight clustering around 29°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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