**Trader consensus clusters on 27–28°C for Qingdao’s June 16 maximum because recent ECMWF, GFS, and CMA model guidance has trended warmer than climatological normals for the coastal site.** Marine moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps afternoon readings through southeast winds and sea-breeze onset, yet current runs show a ridge favoring clearer skies, higher 850 hPa temperatures, and delayed or weaker onshore flow that could allow peaks near 27–28°C. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any afternoon wind shift. Lower-probability bins (26°C or below, or 29°C+) remain live if a stronger sea breeze develops earlier or if model consensus shifts with the next 00Z/12Z updates before resolution. Historical mid-June highs average 23–25°C, underscoring how sensitive tomorrow’s outcome remains to short-term atmospheric details.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
32%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
20°C or below
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$131 Vol.
1%
22°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$162 Vol.
1%
24°C
$17 Vol.
1%
25°C
$192 Vol.
2%
26°C
$207 Vol.
18%
27°C
$610 Vol.
37%
28°C
$100 Vol.
32%
29°C
$139 Vol.
9%
30°C or higher
$168 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters on 27–28°C for Qingdao’s June 16 maximum because recent ECMWF, GFS, and CMA model guidance has trended warmer than climatological normals for the coastal site.** Marine moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps afternoon readings through southeast winds and sea-breeze onset, yet current runs show a ridge favoring clearer skies, higher 850 hPa temperatures, and delayed or weaker onshore flow that could allow peaks near 27–28°C. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any afternoon wind shift. Lower-probability bins (26°C or below, or 29°C+) remain live if a stronger sea breeze develops earlier or if model consensus shifts with the next 00Z/12Z updates before resolution. Historical mid-June highs average 23–25°C, underscoring how sensitive tomorrow’s outcome remains to short-term atmospheric details.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,860Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters on 27–28°C for Qingdao’s June 16 maximum because recent ECMWF, GFS, and CMA model guidance has trended warmer than climatological normals for the coastal site.** Marine moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps afternoon readings through southeast winds and sea-breeze onset, yet current runs show a ridge favoring clearer skies, higher 850 hPa temperatures, and delayed or weaker onshore flow that could allow peaks near 27–28°C. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any afternoon wind shift. Lower-probability bins (26°C or below, or 29°C+) remain live if a stronger sea breeze develops earlier or if model consensus shifts with the next 00Z/12Z updates before resolution. Historical mid-June highs average 23–25°C, underscoring how sensitive tomorrow’s outcome remains to short-term atmospheric details.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,860Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters on 27–28°C for Qingdao’s June 16 maximum because recent ECMWF, GFS, and CMA model guidance has trended warmer than climatological normals for the coastal site.** Marine moderation from the Yellow Sea typically caps afternoon readings through southeast winds and sea-breeze onset, yet current runs show a ridge favoring clearer skies, higher 850 hPa temperatures, and delayed or weaker onshore flow that could allow peaks near 27–28°C. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any afternoon wind shift. Lower-probability bins (26°C or below, or 29°C+) remain live if a stronger sea breeze develops earlier or if model consensus shifts with the next 00Z/12Z updates before resolution. Historical mid-June highs average 23–25°C, underscoring how sensitive tomorrow’s outcome remains to short-term atmospheric details.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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