**Trader consensus centers on a 26–28°C daily maximum for Qingdao on June 15 because recent numerical weather prediction guidance and official products converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer coastal conditions.** Qingdao’s location on the Yellow Sea favors moderation from persistent southeast flow, which limits daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures remain near 19–20°C. Current model runs show mostly partly cloudy skies with light-to-moderate winds, supporting a peak near 26–27°C; a brief reduction in cloud cover or weaker sea breeze could allow readings to reach 28°C. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles place the most likely outcome in this band, consistent with climatological June averages of 24–26°C highs for the region. Uncertainties around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing keep modest probability on adjacent bins, while the low odds for 29°C+ or sub-25°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or persistent marine stratus in the latest guidance. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 15?
27°C 45%
26°C 26%
28°C 15%
25°C 7.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
45%
28°C
15%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 45%
26°C 26%
28°C 15%
25°C 7.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
20°C or below
$587 Vol.
1%
21°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$432 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$208 Vol.
4%
25°C
$616 Vol.
8%
26°C
$505 Vol.
26%
27°C
$576 Vol.
45%
28°C
$355 Vol.
15%
29°C
$186 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$695 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–28°C daily maximum for Qingdao on June 15 because recent numerical weather prediction guidance and official products converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer coastal conditions.**
Qingdao’s location on the Yellow Sea favors moderation from persistent southeast flow, which limits daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures remain near 19–20°C. Current model runs show mostly partly cloudy skies with light-to-moderate winds, supporting a peak near 26–27°C; a brief reduction in cloud cover or weaker sea breeze could allow readings to reach 28°C. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles place the most likely outcome in this band, consistent with climatological June averages of 24–26°C highs for the region. Uncertainties around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing keep modest probability on adjacent bins, while the low odds for 29°C+ or sub-25°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or persistent marine stratus in the latest guidance. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$4,738Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 26–28°C daily maximum for Qingdao on June 15 because recent numerical weather prediction guidance and official products converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer coastal conditions.**
Qingdao’s location on the Yellow Sea favors moderation from persistent southeast flow, which limits daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures remain near 19–20°C. Current model runs show mostly partly cloudy skies with light-to-moderate winds, supporting a peak near 26–27°C; a brief reduction in cloud cover or weaker sea breeze could allow readings to reach 28°C. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles place the most likely outcome in this band, consistent with climatological June averages of 24–26°C highs for the region. Uncertainties around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing keep modest probability on adjacent bins, while the low odds for 29°C+ or sub-25°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or persistent marine stratus in the latest guidance. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,738Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 26–28°C daily maximum for Qingdao on June 15 because recent numerical weather prediction guidance and official products converge on that narrow range amid typical early-summer coastal conditions.** Qingdao’s location on the Yellow Sea favors moderation from persistent southeast flow, which limits daytime heating while sea-surface temperatures remain near 19–20°C. Current model runs show mostly partly cloudy skies with light-to-moderate winds, supporting a peak near 26–27°C; a brief reduction in cloud cover or weaker sea breeze could allow readings to reach 28°C. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles place the most likely outcome in this band, consistent with climatological June averages of 24–26°C highs for the region. Uncertainties around boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing keep modest probability on adjacent bins, while the low odds for 29°C+ or sub-25°C reflect the absence of strong warm advection or persistent marine stratus in the latest guidance. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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