Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Meteo France indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Paris on June 11, driven by widespread cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating under a stable high-pressure influence. Model consensus places the daily high near 19°C, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any brief clear intervals that could allow an extra degree of warming. This positions the market’s near-even split between 19°C and 20°C as a direct reflection of remaining forecast uncertainty two days out, while lower probabilities for 21°C or above align with the absence of stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud expected in current guidance. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 11 de junio?
19°C 35%
20°C 35%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
14%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C o más
<1%
19°C 35%
20°C 35%
21°C 14%
18°C 11%
14°C o menos
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
14%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Meteo France indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Paris on June 11, driven by widespread cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating under a stable high-pressure influence. Model consensus places the daily high near 19°C, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any brief clear intervals that could allow an extra degree of warming. This positions the market’s near-even split between 19°C and 20°C as a direct reflection of remaining forecast uncertainty two days out, while lower probabilities for 21°C or above align with the absence of stronger southerly flow or reduced cloud expected in current guidance. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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