**Trader consensus in this Panama City high-temperature market centers on the narrow 30–31°C band because June climatology and short-range model guidance place the expected daily maximum right at the historical mean of ~30–31°C.** In Panama’s tropical wet season, peak temperatures are tightly controlled by the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud cover and showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and local sea-breeze convergence—frequently cap readings near or below 30°C, while clearer mornings or delayed storm development allow surface heating to reach 31°C or slightly higher. Current ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and instability, producing the close 38 % / 33.5 % split between 31 °C and 30 °C. Resolution hinges on whether observed maximums tomorrow exceed or fall short of the 30.5 °C threshold used by INAMEH, with any late-day clearing or suppressed rainfall tilting the outcome toward the higher bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 15 de junio?
31°C 38%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
34%
31°C
38%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 5%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
34%
31°C
38%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in this Panama City high-temperature market centers on the narrow 30–31°C band because June climatology and short-range model guidance place the expected daily maximum right at the historical mean of ~30–31°C.** In Panama’s tropical wet season, peak temperatures are tightly controlled by the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud cover and showers—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and local sea-breeze convergence—frequently cap readings near or below 30°C, while clearer mornings or delayed storm development allow surface heating to reach 31°C or slightly higher. Current ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and instability, producing the close 38 % / 33.5 % split between 31 °C and 30 °C. Resolution hinges on whether observed maximums tomorrow exceed or fall short of the 30.5 °C threshold used by INAMEH, with any late-day clearing or suppressed rainfall tilting the outcome toward the higher bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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