Traders heavily favor 31°C as the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on June 14 due to the city's typical June climatology of daily highs near 29–30°C (85–86°F), with limited day-to-day variability in the tropical maritime regime. El Niño conditions now present in the equatorial Pacific, per recent NOAA and WMO updates, tend to enhance warmth and suppress rainfall across parts of Central America, supporting modestly elevated maxima around 31°C rather than cooler or extreme outliers. Rainy-season afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 32°C or higher, while the narrow spread in market odds reflects high confidence in near-normal thermal conditions based on historical analogs and short-term model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 14 de junio?
31°C 84%
32°C 10%
33°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
$17,724 Vol.
$17,724 Vol.
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
84%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
31°C 84%
32°C 10%
33°C 2.4%
34°C <1%
$17,724 Vol.
$17,724 Vol.
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
84%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 31°C as the highest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on June 14 due to the city's typical June climatology of daily highs near 29–30°C (85–86°F), with limited day-to-day variability in the tropical maritime regime. El Niño conditions now present in the equatorial Pacific, per recent NOAA and WMO updates, tend to enhance warmth and suppress rainfall across parts of Central America, supporting modestly elevated maxima around 31°C rather than cooler or extreme outliers. Rainy-season afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 32°C or higher, while the narrow spread in market odds reflects high confidence in near-normal thermal conditions based on historical analogs and short-term model guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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