Forecasts for Moscow on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 21–22°C, with market odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid minor model spread. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers or broken cloud, which limit surface heating, versus clearer intervals that permit stronger insolation and slightly higher peaks. Regional pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture also influence whether convection develops early enough to suppress the high or remains delayed. Official guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and ensemble runs show limited variance in this range, consistent with typical early-summer variability where small shifts in timing alter the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 34%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
20%
21°C
34%
22°C
27%
23°C
12%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
22°C 27%
20°C 20%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
16°C or below
$303 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$716 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$416 Vol.
1%
19°C
$672 Vol.
7%
20°C
$322 Vol.
20%
21°C
$295 Vol.
34%
22°C
$387 Vol.
27%
23°C
$373 Vol.
12%
24°C
$634 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,642 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$2,602 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Moscow on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 21–22°C, with market odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid minor model spread. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers or broken cloud, which limit surface heating, versus clearer intervals that permit stronger insolation and slightly higher peaks. Regional pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture also influence whether convection develops early enough to suppress the high or remains delayed. Official guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and ensemble runs show limited variance in this range, consistent with typical early-summer variability where small shifts in timing alter the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$7,880Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Moscow on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 21–22°C, with market odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid minor model spread. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers or broken cloud, which limit surface heating, versus clearer intervals that permit stronger insolation and slightly higher peaks. Regional pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture also influence whether convection develops early enough to suppress the high or remains delayed. Official guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and ensemble runs show limited variance in this range, consistent with typical early-summer variability where small shifts in timing alter the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,880Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Moscow on June 15 indicate a daily maximum near 21–22°C, with market odds reflecting tight clustering around these values amid minor model spread. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers or broken cloud, which limit surface heating, versus clearer intervals that permit stronger insolation and slightly higher peaks. Regional pressure patterns and boundary-layer moisture also influence whether convection develops early enough to suppress the high or remains delayed. Official guidance from sources like the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and ensemble runs show limited variance in this range, consistent with typical early-summer variability where small shifts in timing alter the recorded maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational trends over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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