Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City show maximum temperatures likely clustering between 22–24°C on June 6, reflecting the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, daytime heating is limited by cool highland air masses and frequent afternoon convective showers that develop as the rainy season begins; these clouds and precipitation reduce peak insolation and explain why traders assign lower weight to 25°C or higher. Ensemble guidance from global models displays modest spread in timing and coverage of showers, creating the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 24°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow will provide the definitive maximum for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 6?
23°C 27%
22°C 21%
24°C 18%
25°C 8.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
21%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
5%
23°C 27%
22°C 21%
24°C 18%
25°C 8.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$226 Vol.
1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
1%
20°C
$120 Vol.
2%
21°C
$255 Vol.
7%
22°C
$43 Vol.
21%
23°C
$45 Vol.
27%
24°C
$44 Vol.
18%
25°C
$177 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$184 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City show maximum temperatures likely clustering between 22–24°C on June 6, reflecting the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, daytime heating is limited by cool highland air masses and frequent afternoon convective showers that develop as the rainy season begins; these clouds and precipitation reduce peak insolation and explain why traders assign lower weight to 25°C or higher. Ensemble guidance from global models displays modest spread in timing and coverage of showers, creating the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 24°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow will provide the definitive maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$1,089Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City show maximum temperatures likely clustering between 22–24°C on June 6, reflecting the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, daytime heating is limited by cool highland air masses and frequent afternoon convective showers that develop as the rainy season begins; these clouds and precipitation reduce peak insolation and explain why traders assign lower weight to 25°C or higher. Ensemble guidance from global models displays modest spread in timing and coverage of showers, creating the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 24°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow will provide the definitive maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,089Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City show maximum temperatures likely clustering between 22–24°C on June 6, reflecting the market’s tight distribution around those outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, daytime heating is limited by cool highland air masses and frequent afternoon convective showers that develop as the rainy season begins; these clouds and precipitation reduce peak insolation and explain why traders assign lower weight to 25°C or higher. Ensemble guidance from global models displays modest spread in timing and coverage of showers, creating the narrow implied-probability gap between 22°C and 24°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow will provide the definitive maximum for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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