Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu today will likely peak in the low to mid-30s Celsius amid the onset of the East Asian summer monsoon, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–33 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a weakening subtropical ridge are limiting daytime heating and evapotranspiration, while the Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes moisture retention that caps extreme spikes. Historical June averages near 29 °C provide context, but current steering patterns and diurnal timing introduce enough variability to differentiate 34 °C scenarios from cooler outcomes, with updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 5?
32°C 35%
33°C 25%
34°C 13%
35°C 8%
$32,995 Vol.
$32,995 Vol.
5 jun 2026
31°C or below
6%
32°C
35%
33°C
25%
34°C
13%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 25%
34°C 13%
35°C 8%
$32,995 Vol.
$32,995 Vol.
5 jun 2026
31°C or below
$7,517 Vol.
6%
32°C
$2,739 Vol.
35%
33°C
$1,740 Vol.
25%
34°C
$1,437 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,303 Vol.
8%
36°C
$3,547 Vol.
5%
37°C
$2,527 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5,796 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$2,591 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu today will likely peak in the low to mid-30s Celsius amid the onset of the East Asian summer monsoon, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–33 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a weakening subtropical ridge are limiting daytime heating and evapotranspiration, while the Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes moisture retention that caps extreme spikes. Historical June averages near 29 °C provide context, but current steering patterns and diurnal timing introduce enough variability to differentiate 34 °C scenarios from cooler outcomes, with updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$32,995Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu today will likely peak in the low to mid-30s Celsius amid the onset of the East Asian summer monsoon, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–33 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a weakening subtropical ridge are limiting daytime heating and evapotranspiration, while the Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes moisture retention that caps extreme spikes. Historical June averages near 29 °C provide context, but current steering patterns and diurnal timing introduce enough variability to differentiate 34 °C scenarios from cooler outcomes, with updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,995Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu today will likely peak in the low to mid-30s Celsius amid the onset of the East Asian summer monsoon, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 32–33 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a weakening subtropical ridge are limiting daytime heating and evapotranspiration, while the Sichuan Basin’s topography promotes moisture retention that caps extreme spikes. Historical June averages near 29 °C provide context, but current steering patterns and diurnal timing introduce enough variability to differentiate 34 °C scenarios from cooler outcomes, with updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected to refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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