Mexico City's official meteorological observations for June 4, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Early June marks the transition into the rainy season, when increased afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and convective activity—driven by typical moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf—routinely cap daytime heating near the long-term seasonal average of 24–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This pattern, reinforced by National Meteorological Service guidance and recent model consensus, suppressed any potential for warmer readings seen earlier in the month. Only a significant deviation in observed data or station-specific reporting could alter the resolution, though current consensus leaves minimal room for variance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 4 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 4 de junio?
25°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,115 Vol.
$28,115 Vol.
4 jun 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C o más
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$28,115 Vol.
$28,115 Vol.
4 jun 2026
16°C o menos
$826 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,937 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,856 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,424 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,508 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,424 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,929 Vol.
100%
26°C o más
$4,736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's official meteorological observations for June 4, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Early June marks the transition into the rainy season, when increased afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and convective activity—driven by typical moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf—routinely cap daytime heating near the long-term seasonal average of 24–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This pattern, reinforced by National Meteorological Service guidance and recent model consensus, suppressed any potential for warmer readings seen earlier in the month. Only a significant deviation in observed data or station-specific reporting could alter the resolution, though current consensus leaves minimal room for variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$28,115Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's official meteorological observations for June 4, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Early June marks the transition into the rainy season, when increased afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and convective activity—driven by typical moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf—routinely cap daytime heating near the long-term seasonal average of 24–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This pattern, reinforced by National Meteorological Service guidance and recent model consensus, suppressed any potential for warmer readings seen earlier in the month. Only a significant deviation in observed data or station-specific reporting could alter the resolution, though current consensus leaves minimal room for variance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,115Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's official meteorological observations for June 4, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 25°C, aligning precisely with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Early June marks the transition into the rainy season, when increased afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and convective activity—driven by typical moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf—routinely cap daytime heating near the long-term seasonal average of 24–26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This pattern, reinforced by National Meteorological Service guidance and recent model consensus, suppressed any potential for warmer readings seen earlier in the month. Only a significant deviation in observed data or station-specific reporting could alter the resolution, though current consensus leaves minimal room for variance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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