PAGASA's latest forecasts for Manila on June 15 point to a daytime high of 32–33°C amid the early southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and 40% rain chance moderating peak heating through cloud cover and humidity. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when typical maxima hover near 32°C under high humidity and convective activity that limits intense solar radiation. Trader consensus favoring 33°C (45.5%) over 32°C (24.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) reflects model runs showing slight warming potential if monsoon rains remain isolated, while lower probabilities for extremes account for observed stability in recent days and the low likelihood of clear-sky intensification. Updated PAGASA guidance and local observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 15 de junio?
33°C 45%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 3.7%
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
23%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 25%
34°C 23%
35°C 3.7%
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
25%
33°C
45%
34°C
23%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecasts for Manila on June 15 point to a daytime high of 32–33°C amid the early southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and 40% rain chance moderating peak heating through cloud cover and humidity. This aligns with climatological baselines for early June, when typical maxima hover near 32°C under high humidity and convective activity that limits intense solar radiation. Trader consensus favoring 33°C (45.5%) over 32°C (24.5%) or 34°C (22.5%) reflects model runs showing slight warming potential if monsoon rains remain isolated, while lower probabilities for extremes account for observed stability in recent days and the low likelihood of clear-sky intensification. Updated PAGASA guidance and local observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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