Recent ensemble forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, with the slight edge to 32 °C reflecting modest Saharan air-mass advection and deeper boundary-layer mixing that could allow an extra degree of afternoon warming. Subtle differences in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover will determine whether the Retiro station peaks at the lower or upper end of this narrow range. No strong synoptic heat-wave setup exists, so forecast uncertainty remains elevated; the next model cycle or observational update could readily shift probability between these two leading outcomes while keeping tails below 2 %.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 44%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
34°C 4.0%
NUEVO
$20,473 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,473 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
37%
32°C
44%
33°C
12%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
34°C 4.0%
NUEVO
$20,473 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,473 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
$451 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,177 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,743 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,582 Vol.
37%
32°C
$2,176 Vol.
44%
33°C
$2,690 Vol.
12%
34°C
$4,388 Vol.
4%
35°C
$2,143 Vol.
1%
36°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, with the slight edge to 32 °C reflecting modest Saharan air-mass advection and deeper boundary-layer mixing that could allow an extra degree of afternoon warming. Subtle differences in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover will determine whether the Retiro station peaks at the lower or upper end of this narrow range. No strong synoptic heat-wave setup exists, so forecast uncertainty remains elevated; the next model cycle or observational update could readily shift probability between these two leading outcomes while keeping tails below 2 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$20,473Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, with the slight edge to 32 °C reflecting modest Saharan air-mass advection and deeper boundary-layer mixing that could allow an extra degree of afternoon warming. Subtle differences in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover will determine whether the Retiro station peaks at the lower or upper end of this narrow range. No strong synoptic heat-wave setup exists, so forecast uncertainty remains elevated; the next model cycle or observational update could readily shift probability between these two leading outcomes while keeping tails below 2 %.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,473Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on a Madrid maximum of 31–32 °C for June 15, with the slight edge to 32 °C reflecting modest Saharan air-mass advection and deeper boundary-layer mixing that could allow an extra degree of afternoon warming. Subtle differences in predicted wind speeds and cloud cover will determine whether the Retiro station peaks at the lower or upper end of this narrow range. No strong synoptic heat-wave setup exists, so forecast uncertainty remains elevated; the next model cycle or observational update could readily shift probability between these two leading outcomes while keeping tails below 2 %.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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