Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting ECMWF ensembles indicate a June 11 high near 33°C at Madrid’s Retiro reference station, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This places the day within the upper half of the early-June climatological range (historical mean high ~28–29°C) without crossing into heat-wave criteria. Model runs show tight clustering between 31–34°C, with limited downside risk from unexpected marine cooling or upside from stronger Saharan advection. The next AEMET update and any 48-hour model revisions before resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 11 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 11 de junio?
33°C 54%
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
54%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
28°C o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$117 Vol.
12%
32°C
$307 Vol.
27%
33°C
$196 Vol.
54%
34°C
$33 Vol.
10%
35°C
$20 Vol.
3%
36°C
$481 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C o más
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting ECMWF ensembles indicate a June 11 high near 33°C at Madrid’s Retiro reference station, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This places the day within the upper half of the early-June climatological range (historical mean high ~28–29°C) without crossing into heat-wave criteria. Model runs show tight clustering between 31–34°C, with limited downside risk from unexpected marine cooling or upside from stronger Saharan advection. The next AEMET update and any 48-hour model revisions before resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$988Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting ECMWF ensembles indicate a June 11 high near 33°C at Madrid’s Retiro reference station, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This places the day within the upper half of the early-June climatological range (historical mean high ~28–29°C) without crossing into heat-wave criteria. Model runs show tight clustering between 31–34°C, with limited downside risk from unexpected marine cooling or upside from stronger Saharan advection. The next AEMET update and any 48-hour model revisions before resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$988Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting ECMWF ensembles indicate a June 11 high near 33°C at Madrid’s Retiro reference station, driven by a warm, stable air mass with light northeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This places the day within the upper half of the early-June climatological range (historical mean high ~28–29°C) without crossing into heat-wave criteria. Model runs show tight clustering between 31–34°C, with limited downside risk from unexpected marine cooling or upside from stronger Saharan advection. The next AEMET update and any 48-hour model revisions before resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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