Recent Met Office and European model runs indicate settled high-pressure conditions over southeast England on June 16, 2026, favoring daytime maxima near 25–26 °C under sunny spells and light winds. After May’s record warmth, a southerly flow and reduced cloud cover are enhancing radiative heating and limiting cooling overnight, keeping values above the seasonal 19–20 °C average. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in timing of any weak fronts and boundary-layer mixing; these factors explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25 °C and 26 °C while assigning low odds to 28 °C or cooler outcomes below 24 °C. Updated guidance expected later today could narrow the range further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on June 16?
26°C 38%
25°C 31%
24°C 17%
27°C 10.3%
$12,360 Vol.
$12,360 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
31%
26°C
38%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 31%
24°C 17%
27°C 10.3%
$12,360 Vol.
$12,360 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
31%
26°C
38%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs indicate settled high-pressure conditions over southeast England on June 16, 2026, favoring daytime maxima near 25–26 °C under sunny spells and light winds. After May’s record warmth, a southerly flow and reduced cloud cover are enhancing radiative heating and limiting cooling overnight, keeping values above the seasonal 19–20 °C average. Ensemble spread arises mainly from small differences in timing of any weak fronts and boundary-layer mixing; these factors explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25 °C and 26 °C while assigning low odds to 28 °C or cooler outcomes below 24 °C. Updated guidance expected later today could narrow the range further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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