Official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate sunny intervals with a maximum around 24°C for London on June 15, driven by high pressure and light winds favoring daytime heating. Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any Atlantic moisture, and precise peak readings at official stations, where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally. Recent warming after May records keeps 24°C+ in play at lower probability, while climatological June averages near 20–21°C provide baseline context. New model runs and morning observations will refine resolution before the day’s high is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on June 15?
23°C 39%
22°C 30%
24°C or higher 21.9%
21°C 10%
$23,370 Vol.
$23,370 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
22%
23°C 39%
22°C 30%
24°C or higher 21.9%
21°C 10%
$23,370 Vol.
$23,370 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate sunny intervals with a maximum around 24°C for London on June 15, driven by high pressure and light winds favoring daytime heating. Trader consensus clustering on 22–23°C reflects model uncertainty in cloud cover, timing of any Atlantic moisture, and precise peak readings at official stations, where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C locally. Recent warming after May records keeps 24°C+ in play at lower probability, while climatological June averages near 20–21°C provide baseline context. New model runs and morning observations will refine resolution before the day’s high is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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